Contra's FX Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by contra, Jul 24, 2012.

  1. It'll be a cold day in Indiana before you see me get long AUD
     
    #61     Aug 8, 2012
  2. contra

    contra

    lol i figured. That would be miserable to get caught out on a top after being short.

    I would just wait for negative sentiment in markets with nice PA confirmation on dailies. back to 0400's or so.
     
    #62     Aug 8, 2012
  3. yeah well, they already owe me quite a bit, just on the carry
     
    #63     Aug 8, 2012
  4. contra

    contra

    that's exactly why i don't like being short unless markets are in fear mode for a quick play when you get unwinding of carry into safe havens.

    better to play a range long in aussie for just the carry then be short and going nowhere with swap against you.
     
    #64     Aug 8, 2012
  5. yeah, that's what more knowledgable traders told me when I got short, that the carry trade would probably hold
     
    #65     Aug 8, 2012
  6. Wut? Refresh my memory as I've slept exactly 11 1/2 hours all week. Another sleepless night tonight, but I'll crash after the close tomorrow.
     
    #66     Aug 8, 2012
  7. what's your secret? I could go for one of those 11 1/2 hour sleeps.
     
    #67     Aug 8, 2012
  8. contra

    contra

    ok nap nap time over.

    damn, that is champion status... I have a bit more but not much :)

    you said something like, "I still believe we trade to a NH next week, but otherwise a bunch of inside days. Vol should drop to 15.00 on VIX. Euro will be tight too."
     
    #68     Aug 8, 2012
  9. contra

    contra

    i stick with my call before, we test highs on risk across the board...

    If euro isn't capped 2450's... 2500 or so is next stop but I feel like there are sellers in wait.

    and eur/gbp and eur/aud weighing on euro...
     
    #69     Aug 8, 2012
  10. contra

    contra

    lol
     
    #70     Aug 8, 2012