Contra's FX Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by contra, Jul 24, 2012.

  1. contra

    contra

    I will not short aud/usd until we clearly break 0400.
     
    #301     Aug 22, 2012
  2. contra

    contra

    reuters survey has it at a 60% chance for QE3 @ 500 billion more in Bond purchases.

    however, an interesting point

    I'm gonna go with no QE again, I'm on a roll with that one. I may be wrong this time but either way I expect a sell off after that one.
     
    #302     Aug 22, 2012
  3. I'm net long usd, and so far it has been a rough way to go
     
    #303     Aug 22, 2012
  4. contra

    contra

    maybe just a bit too early. In the meantime i gotta stay bull I guess until levels start breaking to the downside and fundamentals and sentiment start backing it up... with king PA.
     
    #304     Aug 22, 2012
  5. :) Best thing I've read on this site all day
     
    #305     Aug 23, 2012
  6. contra

    contra

    Thanks dude. But if this aussie misses his stop by 4 pips it's either really good placement or really lucky placement, either one is fine lol

    i see 26.

    still think we can get up eventually at this point.
     
    #306     Aug 23, 2012
  7. contra

    contra

    long EJ for 99.50 looks playable. eur/usd for 2600/20
     
    #307     Aug 23, 2012
  8. contra

    contra

    expecting more downside?
     
    #308     Aug 23, 2012
  9. contra

    contra

    not that anyone gives a rats ass, but I have been busy latly with some other work and music stuff but dont think I didn't grab that euro long yesterday! lol Just not fully focused on the market and I don't like trading much when I dont have a finger on the pulse, if there is any at this point...

    Still waiting on the beard at JH and sept 6th Draghi and further developments on Greece, but I would think we'll be somewhat locked in a range up here until then atleast Jackson Hole.

    There is some decent 2600 exotics in play so that would be a target to the upside for sure especially if we put a higher low in here.

    The market is like a broken record with this QE shit, the one thing I've learned is you can go with it on the run up as the market starts pricing it and then square off ahead and be ready for the diapointment or at least the TP's...

    eur/aud covering and the China story with Iron Ore isn't helping Aussie much... but I still have some faith in her yet, even though she is sitting kinda stale under 0400 here...
     
    #309     Aug 29, 2012
  10. I don't have a rats ass. I do have a posumn I feed everynight. What kind of music stuff?
     
    #310     Aug 29, 2012