Contango is back

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by TraDaToR, Jul 17, 2014.

  1. Ogarbitrage, the $40K/day rate was for VLCCs; about 2 million barrels, not the ULCCs. That's a cost of $7.30/bbl/yr on a full year rate. It looks like a marginally profitable trade at the moment. What's happening with spot prices?
     
    #131     Jan 8, 2015
  2. I took the day rate as a cap for both ULCC and VLCC fleets. Economies of scale would suggest a better rate for the ULCC at 3mm bbls. As the most economical it was probably the first to reach an open arb. TI-O will more than likely take delivery of five 600k Brent lots, sit idle against a dock somewhere in Rotterdam, and sold back into the Brent complex in 12 months.

    ULCC/VLCCs now, Suezmax fleet will be next.
     
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2015
    #132     Jan 8, 2015
  3. South Sudan's Feb Dar Blend crude oil exports set to rise 4% on month to 4.8 mil barrels

    More WAF supply hitting the Feb market.
     
    #133     Jan 8, 2015
  4. I love contango.
    Will be fun to trade the calendars now.
     
    #135     Jan 9, 2015
  5. ? Could you explain? I've traded a lot of stuff, but not much oil. I'm sure that there are much smarter ways to trade oil than what I'm doing.
     
    #136     Jan 9, 2015
  6. calendar is the difference between two oil futures contracts.
    Can be traded on CME/ICE
     
    #137     Jan 9, 2015
  7. I've been trading June contracts. What's the benefit of trading more than one contract?
     
    #138     Jan 9, 2015
  8. Less margin and less risk than an outright contract.
     
    #139     Jan 9, 2015
    nemesis45 likes this.
  9. Middle East Crude-Oman, Qatar Marine under pressure

    Med Crude-Urals in Baltic near parity with Med for first time since Sept

    The North/South sour arb has closed.

     
    #140     Jan 9, 2015