ACAT: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-arctic-cat-acat-060023711.html http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...obile-maker-arctic-cat-inc-stock-plunged.aspx http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ACAT+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=ACAT http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lq9ayTSJorQ http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ACAT&t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ACAT&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: with ACAT at 44.85 Jun 45/40 bear put spread for a net debit of $185 Potential Yield = 315/185 = 170% in 115 days Price....................Profit / Loss...................ROI % 30.00..................... 315.00...................... 170.27% 35.00..................... 315.00...................... 170.27% 40.00..................... 315.00...................... 170.27% 40.34..................... 280.90...................... 151.84% 43.15........................... 0.00............................ 0.00% 45.00.................... (185.00)................... -100.00% 50.00.................... (185.00)................... -100.00% 55.00.................... (185.00)................... -100.00%
WFM: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-whole-foods-market-060028610.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/whole-foods-plunges-earnings-miss-145006981.html http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...ods-growth-slows-as-competition-heats-up.aspx http://www.ft.com/cms/s/3/8b1ab4f2-94e8-11e3-a8ac-00144feab7de.html#axzz2uPwZNssP http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=wfm http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=WFM+Key+Statistics Trade: with WFM at 53.55 Aug 62.50/65 bear call spread for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/215 = 16.3% in 170 days or 35% annualized Prob = 85.5% Expectation = .855(35) - .09(215) - .055(107) = 29.9 - 19.4 - 5.9 = 4.6 Price...............................Profit / Loss....................ROM % 40.00................................... 35.00........................... 16.30% 50.00................................... 35.00........................... 14.00% 55.00................................... 35.00........................... 14.00% 62.50................................... 35.00........................... 14.00% 62.85...................................... 0.00.............................. 0.00% 64.65............................... (179.90)....................... -71.96% 65.00............................... (215.00)....................... -86.00% 70.00............................... (215.00)....................... -86.00% 75.00............................... (215.00)........................ -86.00%
http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc131230.htm http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SPY&t=my&l=off&z=l&q=l&c= http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5y&s=HSTRX&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1&c=^GSPC
TLT: Treasuries at 10%: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=my&s=TLT&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 With TLT at 107.35 Jan '16 85/80 bull put spread for a net credit of $80 yield = 80/420 = 19.05% in 687 days or 10.1% annualized Prob = 96% Expectation = .96(80) - .02(420) - .02(210) = 76.8 - 8.4 - 4.2 = 64.2 TLT currently yields 3.07%
TASR: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/solid-q4-earnings-taser-181004567.html http://news.investors.com/022614-69...es-rise.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TASR Trade: with TASR at 18.93 Jun 15/12 bull put spread for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/265 = 13.2% in 114 days or 42% annualized Prob = 70% Expectation = .7(35) - .22(265) - .08(137) = 24.5 - 58.3 - 11.0 = -44.8 Price................................Profit / Loss.......................ROI % 9.00................................... (265.00)......................... -88.33% 11.00................................ (265.00)......................... -88.33% 12.00................................ (265.00)......................... -88.33% 14.65........................................ 0.00............................... 0.00% 14.78...................................... 12.60.............................. 4.20% 15.00...................................... 35.00............................ 13.20% 17.00...................................... 35.00............................ 13.20% 20.00...................................... 35.00............................ 13.20% 25.00...................................... 35.00............................ 13.20%
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SPY&t=1y&l=off&z=l&q=c&c= Trigger set-up?? With SPY at 184.85: At open: Buy To Open 1 SPY Mar14 185 Call SPDR S&P 500 100 Stop /Limit = 185.00/1.95 Buy To Open 1 SPY Mar14 183 Put SPDR S&P 500 100 Stop/ Limit = 183.00/1.90 One cancels the other.
MCD: http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowa...risk-jpmorgan-says/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MCD&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Jun 87.50/85 bull put spread for a net credit of $25 Yield = 25/225 = 11.11% in 113 days or 36% annualized Prob = 91% Expectation = .91(25) - .03(225) - .06(112) = 22.75 - 6.75 - 6.72 = 9.3 Price...................Profit / Loss...................ROI % 75.00.................... (225.00).................. -90.00% 80.00.................... (225.00).................. -90.00% 85.00.................... (225.00).................. -90.00% 85.44.................... (181.40).................. -72.56% 87.25............................ 0.00........................ 0.00% 87.50......................... 25.00..................... 11.11% 95.00......................... 25.00.................... 11.11% 100.00....................... 25.00.................... 11.11% 110.00....................... 25.00.................... 11.11%
DVA: http://www.cnbc.com/id/101450261?__...hoo&doc=101450261%7cBuffett's+Berkshire+buys+ http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/13/n...-private-chain-despite-track-record.html?_r=0 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=DVA+Profile http://finance.yahoo.com/news/davita-healthcare-beats-q4-earnings-152004404.html http://blogs.marketwatch.com/health...new-high-after-company-ups-its-2014-forecast/ http://finance.yahoo.com/news/davita-treat-thousands-saudi-arabia-091200894.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DVA&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: With DVA at 68.02 Oct 55/50 bull put spread for a net credit of $40 Yield = 40/450 = 8.9% in 231 days or 14% annualized Prob = 90% Expectation = .9(40) - .03(450) - .07(225) = 36 - 13.5 - 15.75 = 6.75 Price........................Profit / Loss............................ROI % 40.00........................... (460.00)........................... -92.00% 45.00........................... (460.00)........................... -92.00% 50.00........................... (460.00)........................... -92.00% 54.60................................... 0.00................................. 0.00% 55.00................................. 40.00................................ 8.00% 60.00................................. 40.00................................ 8.00% 65.00................................. 40.00................................ 8.00% 75.00................................. 40.00................................ 8.00% 85.00................................. 40.00................................ 8.00% http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_kidney
GE: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/general-electric-slips-sell-210004927.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ge I currently have a Jan '15 22/20 bull put spread for a net credit of $33 on GE Based largely on this article: http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...electric-companys-backlog-swells-in-2013.aspx Given Zacks downgrade I am going to add a 30/35 bear call spread for a net credit of $29 to produce an Iron Condor (30/35, 22/20). My net yield will be 62/432 = 14.35% with 321 days left to expiration or 10% annualized. Prob = 88%/84% Expectation = .84(62) - .01(439) -.12(219) - .03(139) = 52.1 - 4.4 - 26.3 - 4.2 = 17.2 Price.............................Profit / Loss......................ROI % 15.00............................... (138.00)..................... -27.60% 20.00............................... (138.00)..................... -27.60% 20.52............................... (86.20)........................ -17.24% 21.38.................................... 0.00............................... 0.00% 22.00................................. 62.00............................. 14.35% 26.33................................. 62.00............................. 14.35% 30.00................................. 62.00............................. 14.35% 30.62..................................... 0.00............................... 0.00% 32.13.............................. (151.40)........................ -30.28% 35.00.............................. (438.00)........................ -87.60% 45.00.............................. (438.00)........................ -87.60%
EHTH: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ehealth-down-strong-sell-214005896.html http://www.thestreet.com/story/1243...k-is-ehealth-ehth.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ehealth-inc-announces-fourth-quarter-210500505.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=EHTH+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=EHTH&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=EHTH&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=EHTH+Basic+Chart&t=5d Trade: May 60/65 bear call spread for a net credit of $60 Yield = 60/440 = 13.6% in 75 days or 66% annualized Prob = 85% Expectation = .85(60) - .088(440) - .07(220) = 51 - 39 - 15 = -3 Current Price: $48 Price...................................Profit / Loss........................ROI% 35.00..................................... 60.00.............................. 13.60% 45.00..................................... 60.00.............................. 13.60% 55.00..................................... 60.00.............................. 13.60% 60.00..................................... 60.00.............................. 13.60% 60.60......................................... 0.00................................. 0.00% 62.97.................................. (236.70).......................... -47.34% 65.00.................................. (440.00).......................... -88.00% 70.00.................................. (440.00).......................... -88.00% 75.00.................................. (440.00).......................... -88.00%