BBY: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-buy-holiday-sales-fall-130226548.html http://online.barrons.com/article/S...79324671626942380.html?mod=BOL_hp_highlight_2 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=BBY+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=bby http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5y&s=BBY&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: With BBY at 26.83 June 40/45 bear call spread for a net credit of $26 Yield = 26/474 = 5.5% in 154 days or 13% annualized Prob = 92% Expectation = .92(26) - .04(474) - .04(237) = 23.9 - 19.0 - 9.5 = -4.6 Price...............Profit / Loss................ROI % 25.00................ 26.00.................... 5.5% 30.00................ 26.00.................... 5.5% 35.00................ 26.00.................... 5.5% 40.00................ 26.00.................... 5.5% 40.26.................. 0.00.................... 0.00% 41.65................. (139.30)............ -27.86% 45.00................. (474.00)............ -94.80% 50.00................. (474.00)............ -94.80% 55.00................. (474.00)............ -94.80%
GE: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...forecasts-on-jet-engine-sales.html?cmpid=yhoo http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ge-earnings-jump-sales-rise-214500216.html http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...electric-companys-backlog-swells-in-2013.aspx http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=GE+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GE&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: With GE at 26.58 Jan '15 22/20 bull put spread for a net credit of $33 Yield = 33/167 = 19.8% in 369 days or 19.5% annualized Prob = 89% Expectation = .89(33) - .03(167) - .08(83) = 29.37 - 5.01 - 6.64 = 17.72 Price.................................Profit / Loss.........................ROM % 15.00.................................... (167.00)........................... -83.50% 18.00.................................... (167.00)............................ -83.50% 20.00.................................... (167.00)............................ -83.50% 21.67............................................ 0.00................................... 0.00% 22.00......................................... 33.00................................. 19.80% 23.00......................................... 33.00................................. 19.80% 25.00......................................... 33.00................................. 19.80% 29.00......................................... 33.00................................. 19.80% 33.00......................................... 33.00................................. 19.80%
THC: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/tenet-downgraded-sell-181005508.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/tenet-healthcare-falls-analyst-lowers-181130143.html http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowa...-earnings-guidance/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=THC+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=THC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=THC+Basic+Chart Trade: With THC at 45.30 May 45/43 bear put spread for a net debit of $90 Price...........................Profit / Loss.......................ROI % 32.00............................. 110.00........................ 122.22% 36.00............................. 110.00........................ 122.22% 41.00............................. 110.00........................ 122.22% 43.00............................. 110.00........................ 122.22% 44.10................................... 0.00.............................. 0.00% 45.00............................... (90.00).................... -100.00% 46.00............................... (90.00)................... -100.00% 51.00............................... (90.00)................... -100.00% 56.00............................... (90.00)................... -100.00%
PTM: (a portfolio diversification trade) http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...otes-for-strike-to-hobble-platinum-mines.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-p...-233027147.html;_ylt=A2KJ3CTRi99S.VsAaJKTmYlQ http://www.businessinsider.com/platinum-prices-surging-2014-1 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-etfs-play-platinums-coming-202430720.html http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/113382/time-to-buy-this-precious-metal-etf http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=1y&s=PTM&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=tlt&ql=1&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=1y&s=PTM&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: With PTM at 16.23 May 16/18 bull call spread for a net debit of $75 Price....................Profit / Loss..........ROI % 12.00...................... (75.00)........... -100.00% 14.00...................... (75.00)........... -100.00% 16.00...................... (75.00)........... -100.00% 16.75......................... 0.00............... 0.00% 18.00...................... 125.00............ 166.67% 19.00...................... 125.00............ 166.67% 20.00...................... 125.00............ 166.67% 22.00...................... 125.00............ 166.67% If one is not afraid to acquire PTM one could sell the Aug 16 put for $80 giving 5% to Aug 15th (206 days)
MCD: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...le-changed-on-u-s-store-sales.html?cmpid=yhoo http://finance.yahoo.com/news/mcdonalds-profit-despite-fewer-customers-132023157.html http://www.bloomberg.com/video/mcdo...hanged-nFb3WU38Qu~Sc4whTkEYkA.html?cmpid=yhoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MCD+Basic+Chart&t=5y Trade: premarket MCD is down 44 cents at 94.44 Jan '15 105/110/70/65 Iron Condor for a net credit of $81 Yield = 81/419 = 19.3% in 358 days or 19.7% annualized Prob = 80/99% Price..............................Profit / Loss.....................ROM % 60.00.............................. (419.00)....................... -83.80% 65.00.............................. (419.00)....................... -83.80% 65.78.............................. (340.70)....................... -68.14% 69.19..................................... 0.00 ..............................0.00% 70.00................................... 81.00.......................... 19.33% 80.00................................... 81.00.......................... 19.33% 100.00................................ 81.00.......................... 19.33% 105.00................................ 81.00.......................... 19.33% 105.81.................................... 0.00.......................... 0.00% 110.00............................... (419.00).................. -83.80% 137.50............................... (419.00).................. -83.80% Profitable between 69.19 and 105.81 with a prob of 77%
BAX: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/baxter-beats-earnings-revenues-200705501.html http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...ernational-inc-will-be-nit-picked-but-th.aspx http://finance.yahoo.com/news/baxter-reports-fourth-quarter-2013-120000141.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BAX http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BAX+Basic+Chart&t=2y Trade: With BAX at $69 Jan '15 72.5/75 bear call spread for a net credit of $80 Yield = 80/170 = 47% in 358 days or 48% annualized Price........................Profit / Loss.............ROI % 55.00.................................. 80.00........................... 47.00% 60.00.................................. 80.00...........................47.00% 65.00.................................. 80.00........................... 47.00% 70.00.................................. 80.00........................... 47.00% 73.30..................................... 0.00........................... 0.00% 75.00............................... (170.00).................... -68.00% 80.00............................... (170.00).................... -68.00% 85.00............................... (170.00).................... -68.00% 90.00............................... (170.00).................... -68.00%
HLF: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bull-day-herbalife-hlf-060018590.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=hlf I posted a Jan '15 30/25 bull put spread on Dec 26th. Update using today's numbers: With HLF at 65.92 Jan '15 30/25 bull put spread for a net credit of $80 Yield = 80/420 = 19.0% in 357 days or 19.5% annualized Prob = 78% Expectation = .78(80) - .15(420) - .07(210) = 62.4 - 63 - 14.7 = -15.3 Price.............Profit / Loss................ROI % 20.00...................... (420.00).................... -84.00% 25.00...................... (420.00).................... -84.00% 29.20.............................. 0.00.......................... 0.00% 30.00........................... 80.00....................... 16.00% 35.00........................... 80.00....................... 16.00% 40.00.......................... 80.00........................ 16.00% 45.00.......................... 80.00........................ 16.00% 50.00.......................... 80.00........................ 16.00% 55.00.......................... 80.00........................ 16.00%
PG: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-g-beats-earnings-fx-220832792.html http://www.cnbc.com/id/101362150?__...hoo&doc=101362150%7cThis+boring+stock+won+tod http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...ty-is-trimming-grooming-sales.html?cmpid=yhoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=PG+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=PG http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=PG&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: With PG at 79.18 Jan '15 60/55/90/95 Iron Condor for a net credit of $92 Yield = 92/408 = 22.5% in 356 days or 23.1% annualized Prob = 73% Expectation = .73(92) - .137(408) - .13(204) =67.2 - 55.9 - 26.52 = -15.2 Price.....................Profit / Loss................ROI % 45.00............................ (408.00)........................... -81.60% 55.00............................ (408.00)........................... -81.60% 56.12............................ (295.60)........................... -59.12% 59.08................................... 0.00................................... 0.00% 60.00................................. 92.00.................................23.10% 70.00................................. 92.00.................................23.10% 80.00................................. 92.00..................................23.10% 90.00................................. 92.00..................................23.10% 90.92.................................... 0.00................................... 0.00% 95.00.............................. (408.00)........................... -81.60% 120.00........................... (408.00)............................ -81.60%
BMY: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/brist...;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/25/b...pected-results.html?partner=yahoofinance&_r=0 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bristol-myers-beats-sales-profit-130411950.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BMY&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=l&c= http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=BMY&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=BMY&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: With BMY at 50.94 Jan '15 32/28 bull put spread for a net credit of $30 Yield = 30/370 = 8.10% in 356 days or 8.3% annualized Prob = 95% Expectation = .95(30) - .02(470) - .03(235) = 28.5 - 9.4 - 7.05 = 12.1 Price..........................Profit / Loss................ROI % 21.00........................... (370.00)................. -92.50% 28.00........................... (370.00)................. -92.50% 29.19........................... (251.00).................. -62.75% 31.70.................................... 0.00....................... 0.00% 32.00................................. 30.00....................... 8.10% 35.00................................. 30.00....................... 8.10% 40.00................................. 30.00....................... 8.10% 50.00................................. 30.00....................... 8.10% 60.00................................. 30.00....................... 8.10%
URBN: http://online.barrons.com/article/S...79334734005936704.html?mod=BOL_hp_highlight_2 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/urban-outfitters-reports-record-holiday-124000334.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/sector-wrap-retailers-good-bet-215740778.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=URBN+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=URBN http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=URBN&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=URBN&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: With URBN at $36 Jan '15 25/20 bull put spread for a net credit of $40 Yield = 40/460 = 8.7% in 354 days or 9% annualized Prob = 88% Expectation = .88(40) - .03(460) - .09(230) = 35.2 - 13.8 - 20.7 = 0 Price..........................Profit / Loss................ROI % 15.00.......................... (460.00).................. -92.00% 20.00.......................... (460.00).................. -92.00% 20.76.......................... (384.20).................. -76.84% 24.60.................................. 0.00........................ 0.00% 25.00............................... 40.00........................ 8.00% 26.82............................... 40.00........................ 8.00% 32.88............................... 40.00........................ 8.00% 38.94............................... 40.00........................ 8.00% 45.00............................... 40.00........................ 8.00%