ETR: http://seekingalpha.com/article/184...e-buy-for-utility-income-seekers?source=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ETR+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=ETR http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=etr http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ETR&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= ETR pays a 5.3% dividend Trade: With ETR at 62.08 June '14 57.50/55 bull put spread for a net credit of $60 Yield = 60/190 = 31.6% in 198 days or 58.2% annualized Prob = 71% Expectation = .71(60) - .19(190) - .1(95) = 42.6 - 36.1 - 9.5 = -3 Price........Profit / Loss........% 45.00 .......(190.00) .......-76.00% 50.00 .......(190.00) .......-76.00% 55.00 .......(190.00) .......-76.00% 55.56 .......(134.00) .......-53.60% 56.90 ..........0.00 ............0.00% 57.50 ........60.00 ...........31.00% 60.00 ........60.00 ...........31.00% 65.00 ........60.00 ...........31.00% 70.00 ........60.00 ...........31.00%
Rechecking the 'Hunger Games stocks': LGF: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=LGF IMAX: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IMAX RGC: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RGC Of the three stocks only RGC looks like it will make a profit. The Christmas season into new years is a good time for movie theaters and is not dependent solely on the Hunger Games movie. So I think RGC will make a profit on that bull call spread. The other two already had the success of the movie built into the stock and are losing money from when that article first recommended them. BTW that article touting the Hunger Games stocks has mysteriously disappeared. I wonder why?
PEP: "PepsiCo broke down below support, by closing below 84. This completes a short-term top on its chart. In addition, there is a sell signal from the put-call ratio. " http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=1y&s=PEP&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000223807&__source=yahoo|headline|quote|video|&par=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=PEP+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=PEP+Competitors With PEP at 83.15 Trade #1: Buy Jan '14 85 put for a net debit of $266 TRADE #2 Buy Jan '14 85 put and sell Jan '14 80 put for a net debit of $202 ..............................P/L................... Price......Trade #1...............Trade #2 70..........$1224.....................$298 75...........$724......................$298 80...........$224......................$298 82.34.......$0.0.......................$55 82.98.......($42).....................$0.0 83.15.......($85)....................($37) 85..........($266)...................($202) 90..........($266)...................($202) 95..........($266)...................($202) 100........($266)...................($202)
PEP C'td: Trade #3 Sell Jan '14 82.50 call and buy Jan '14 85 call for a net credit of $113 ..............................................P/L............................ Price......Trade #1...............Trade #2..........Trade #3 70..........$1224.....................$298...............$113 75...........$724......................$298...............$113 80...........$224......................$298...............$113 82.34.......$0.0.......................$55................$113 82.98.......($42).....................$0.0................$68 83.15.......($85)....................($37)...............$12 85..........($266)...................($202).............($137) 90..........($266)...................($202).............($137) 95..........($266)...................($202).............($137) 100........($266)...................($202).............($137)
DG: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-general-earnings-beat-estimate-184727244.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-general-upgraded-conviction-buy-103237100.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=DG+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DG+Basic+Chart Trade: With DG at 60.2 May 50/45 bull put spread for a net credit of $60 Yield = 60/440 = 13.6% in 160 days or 31.1% annualized Prob = 86% Expectation = .86(60) - .04(440) - .10(220) = 51.6 - 17.6 - 22.0 = 12 Price...............Profit / Loss...........% 35.00.............. (440.00)......... -88.00% 40.00.............. (440.00)......... -88.00% 45.00.............. (440.00)......... -88.00% 49.40.................. 0.00.............. 0.00% 50.00................. 60.00............ 13.60% 55.00................. 60.00............ 13.60% 60.00................. 60.00............ 13.60% 65.00................. 60.00............ 13.60% 70.00................. 60.00............ 13.60%
CYS: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cys-investments-inc-board-directors-210100419.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CYS&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= http://www.forbes.com/sites/dividendchannel/2013/12/04/cys-investments-is-oversold/?partner=yahootix Trade: with CYS at 7.60 Sell the March $7 put for $45 Yield = 45/700 = 6.4% in 102 days or 23% annualized The .32 just declared works out to .32/7.60 = 4.2% * 4 = 16.8% annualized. If put collect the dividend and sell calls until called.
INTC: http://blogs.barrons.com/techtrader...ays-morgan-stanley/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/12/09/where-is-intel-going-in-2014.aspx http://www.thestreet.com/story/12142759/1/if-only-intel-didnt-date-losers.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=INTC+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=INTC&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: with INTC at 24.93 Jan '15 30/35 bear call spread for a net credit of $43 Yield = 43/457 = 9.4% in 403 days or 8.5% annualized (INTC pays 3.9% ann dividend) Prob = 83% Expectation = .83(43) - .04(457) - .13(228) = 35.7 - 18.3 - 29.8 = -12.4 Price..............Profit / Loss........% 22.50 ...............43.00 ..........8.50% 25.00 ...............43.00 ..........8.50% 27.50 ...............43.00 ..........8.50% 30.00 ...............43.00 ..........8.50% 30.43 .................0.00 ..........0.00% 33.63 .............(319.80) ......-63.96% 35.00 .............(457.00) ......-91.40% 37.50 .............(457.00) ......-91.40% 40.00 .............(457.00) ......-91.40%
TQNT: http://www.forbes.com/sites/maggiem...rgets-triquint-for-takeover/?partner=yahootix http://finance.yahoo.com/news/starboard-plans-proxy-fight-triquint-184341897.html http://www.marketwatch.com/story/making-a-big-play-for-2014-right-now-2013-12-09?pagenumber=1 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=TQNT&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: Jan '15 7/5 bull put spread for a net credit of $50 Yield = 50/150 = 33% in 402 days or 30.3% annualized Prob = 60% Expectation = .6(50) - .12(150) - .28(75) = 30 - 18 - 21 = -9 Price..........Profit / Loss...............% 3.75 ............(150.00) ............-75.00% 5.00 ............(150.00) ............-75.00% 6.26 ..............(24.40) ............-12.20% 6.50 ..................0.00 ...............0.00% 7.00 .................50.00 .............33.00% 7.50 .................50.00 .............33.00% 8.00 .................50.00 .............33.00% 10.00 ...............50.00 .............33.00%
MRO: http://www.cnbc.com/id/101265899?__...headline|story&par=yahoo&doc=101265899|Cramer uncovers undervalue http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-...-sea-assets-increases-buyback.html?cmpid=yhoo http://finance.yahoo.com/news/marathon-oil-beats-q3-earnings-165002054.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=MRO+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MRO&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MRO&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: with MRO at 35.69 Apr '14 25/30 bull put spread for a net credit of $29 Yield = 29/471 = 6.16% in 128 days or 17.6% annualized Prob = 89% Expectation = .89(29) - .01(471) - .1(235) = 25.8 - 4.7 - 23.5 = -2 Price..........Profit / Loss.......... % 15.00 ...........(471.00) .......-94.20% 20.00 ...........(471.00) .......-94.20% 25.00 ...........(471.00) .......-94.20% 28.94 .............(77.20) .......-15.44% 29.71 ................0.00 ...........0.00% 30.00 ...............29.00 ..........6.16% 35.00 ...............29.00 ..........6.16% 40.00 ...............29.00 ..........6.16% 45.00 ...............29.00 ..........6.16%
ETR: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/etr-d...;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=etr Trade: June 67.50/72.50 bear call spread for a net credit of $60 Yield = 60/435 = 13.8% in 190 days or 26.5% annualized Prob = 76% Expectation = .76(60) - .11(435) - .13(218) = 45.6 - 47.85 - 28.34 = -31