------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You seem to have some kind of proprietary, dog like marking nastiness that caught me by surprise.(but quite used to it in my 40 years of custom home building and dealing with idiots like you ) Your "SHUT UP" tantrum tells me a lot and especially when you threaten to put everyone on ignore WHAT A JOKe I never get into a pissing contest but now a first and last here MY option trading started in 1988 and posting wouldn't be any help to anyone at this time. MY STOCK TRADING STARTED WHEN YOU WERE WETTING YOURSELF(i know how old you are from your posting on http://investorsforum.proboards.com/index.cgi) I aways thought you were treated unfairly in your earlier posts but i was wrong. I won't explain my response when i said "mid" in my previous post because... i think when you worked at ROHM &HASS in Phia. i think some of those chemicals made you the JERK OFF you are now( SOUTH PHILLY speak" jerk off") CHEERS (you may have the last word if you wish) john
Giving me the last word?? Good....... here it is: GO AWAY.............GET OFF MY THREAD..............GO AWAY....... I am not interested in amiable (or unamiable) chatter... I use this thread to track trades.... why can't I have a simple thread with just my trades on it??? I don't bother anybody (now that PM is gone) LEAVE ME ALONE. If you want to chat with somebody chat with somebody else. I REPEAT: SHUT UP. GO AWAY.............GET OFF MY THREAD..............GO AWAY.......
WMT: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/wal-mart-profit-despite-sales-111104667.html http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/17/b...-mixed-results.html?partner=yahoofinance&_r=0 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&s=WMT&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1 Trade: With WMT at 79.86: Sell July 80 call and buy July 82.50 call for a net credit of $100 Yield = 100/250 = 40% in 64 days or 230% annualized Prob = 50% Expectation = .5(100) - .3(250) - .2(125) = 50 - 37.5 - 25 = -12.5 Trade hypothesis is that this will cap WMT's rise. Note: WMT will be very active at the open and these numbers are based on yesterday's close. One could use opening volatility to get a good fill or wait and revise the above numbers to reassess/reset the trade after the open.
BMY: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/16/b...t-cancer-cells.html?partner=yahoofinance&_r=0 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=BMY+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=BMY http://www.medicinenet.com/melanoma/article.htm http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BMY&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Jan '15 32/28 bull put spread for a net credit of $60 Yield = 60/340 = 17.6% in 610 days or 10.6% annualized Prob = 77% Expectation = .77(60) - .13(340) - .10(270) = 46.2 - 44.2 - 27.0 = -25
TLT: http://finance.yahoo.com/video/buffett-bonds-terrible-investment-now-120200291.html http://www.bloomberg.com/video/gros...on-t-be-like-1994-lGoo5W0uTc~KLfV7H9gucw.html http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-...nce-90-versus-bunds-counter-buffett-pity.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=tlt http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TLT&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= With TLT at 117.06 Trade #1: Bear Call Spread Sell the Jan '14 135 call and buy the Jan '14 140 call for a net credit of $25 Yield 25/475 = 5.26% in 243 days or 7.9% annualized Prob = 91% Expectation = .91(25) - .047(475) - .04(238) = 22.75 - 22.32 - 9.52 = -9.1 Trade #2: Bull put spread Sell the Jan '14 95 put and buy the Jan '14 90 put for a net credit of $30 Yield = 30/460 = 6.5% in 243 days or 9.8% annualized Prob = 97.5% Expectation = .98(30) - .01(460) - .01(230) = 29.4 - 4.6 - 2.3 = 22.5 (copied from elsewhere)
RIO: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rio-tinto-downgraded-sell-170002267.html http://seekingalpha.com/article/144...ce-reality-of-soft-global-demand?source=yahoo http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatsp...-despite-industry-headwinds/?partner=yahootix http://rt.com/business/economic-gold-china-the-is-dragon-asleep-growth-891/ http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=RIO&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: with RIO at 44.57 Sell the Oct 55 call and buy the Oct 60 call for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/465 = 7.5% in 151 days or 18% annualized Prob = 88% Expectation = .88(35) - .056(465) - .06(233) = 30.8 - 26.0 - 14 = -9.2
HNZ: BRK and friends will close the acquisition of HNZ within the next day or so: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/heinz-buyout-close-week-143002169.html Acquisitions make for easy money if you know how to do it. It usually isn't worth just buying the stock but playing the options can be worth while. HNZ was sold for 72.50 a share. So immediately on the announcement (2/15/2013) I sold 6 Jan '15 $70 puts and bought 6 Jan '15 $65 puts for a net credit of 134.72. Six 5 point spreads require 6*500 = $3000, minus the 134.72 = $2865. Thus the yield is 134.72/2865 = 4.7%. I usually plan these to take about 6 months to settle. In fact HNZ has taken 110 days. So my rate of return is 4.7*(365/110) = 15.6% annualized. This was an extremely certain acquisition and doing the options was much better than buying the stock. (Atticus questioned the trade at the time so I have posted the outcome... But I think Atticus is no longer posting here)
GSK: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/h...lan-to-speed-antibiotic-development.html?_r=0 http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fda-panel-positive-gsks-avandia-202002724.html http://seekingalpha.com/article/1472031-glaxosmithkline-value-growth-and-yield?source=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=GSK+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GSK&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Nov 45/40 bull put spread for a net credit of $37. Yield = 37/463 = 8.0% in 159 days or 18.3% annualized Prob = 89% Expectation = .89(37) - .01(463) - .10(231) = 32.9 - 4.6 - 23 = 5.3
SFD: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013...rbssFinancialServicesAndRealEstateNews&rpc=43 http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...d-profit-crashes-63-but-it-doesnt-really.aspx http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SFD+Basic+Chart Trade: Sell the Jan '15 $30 put and buy the Jan '15 $25 put for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/465 = 7.54 % in 180 days or 15.3% annualized (180 is the estimated time to close)
ORCL: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oracles-4q-earnings-line-revs-123002760.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oracle-shares-fall-weak-4q-203646661.html http://www.thestreet.com/story/11958176/1/oracles-cloudy-future.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO http://blogs.barrons.com/techtrader...nder-cloud-shift-crm-rising/?mod=yahoobarrons http://www.forbes.com/sites/dividen...racle-becomes-oversold-orcl/?partner=yahootix http://www.cnbc.com/id/100834446?__...yahoo&doc=100834446|Cramer:+I+'Gave+Up'+on+Th http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dust-settle-132756476.html http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=orcl http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ORCL&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Jan '14 22/17 bull put spread for a net credit of $29 Yield = 29/471 = 6.16% IN 207 DAYS OR 10.9% annualized Prob = 95% Expectation = .95(29) - .01(471) - .04(236) = 27.6 - 4.71 - 9.44 = 13.45