TLT Ctd: Here is the table including the 145/150 call spread which is a Sept spread. I also threw in a butterfly for comparison sake: Strikes.........119................119/114.........125/130...........109/119/129............145/150 At Risk.........113.................... 77................316.....................561....................487 Price.........Long Put.........Put Spread....Call Spread.............Butterfly.....Spt Call Sprd 110..............779....................423...............184.....................(473)...................13 115..............290....................332...............184.......................25......................13 120..............(113)..................(77)..............184......................326.....................13 125..............(113)..................(77)..............184......................(182)...................13 126..............(113)..................(77)................69......................(575)...................13 130..............(113)..................(77)..............(316)....................(575)...................13 135..............(113)..................(77)..............(316)....................(575)...................13
hey dan i see you know alot about options trading. i made money off calls on vch. now i just reinvested some money into face book july 25 puts. at 1.10 . i am looking to make money yearly doing this do you have advice you can give me?
My advice on trading options: don't http://25yearsofprogramming.com/blog/20070411.htm#mostlosemoney http://www.fool.com/FoolFAQ/foolfaq0055.htm
FB: closed at 28.50 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FB http://seekingalpha.com/article/629...returning-protected-covered-call?source=yahoo Protected CC: Buy stock, sell Jun 29 call and buy Jun 26 put for a net credit of $50. Yield = 50/2800 = 1.79% in 16 days or 41% annualized. Max loss = $200 max gain = $100. just kidding
Added Nov SH ATM Calls to provide delta hedging for my portfolio. This is in addition to my TLT hedge. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SH&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=TLT+&ql=1 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&s=SH&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=&ql=1&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=tlt&ql=1
In today's disaster two areas that were immune were: Treasuries: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=tlt&ql=1 and Utilities: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=xlu&ql=1 Energy was especially hard hit: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=xle&ql=1 While one of the stocks on my recession resistant list defied the market when the chairman bought 1 million shares: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=teva&ql=1 http://www.reuters.com/article/2012...edType=RSS&feedName=rbssHealthcareNews&rpc=43 Some other selected comparisons: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=wmt&ql=1 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=so&ql=1 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=^GSPC&s=xlf&ql=1
MON: (I believe I posted about MON in April also. It is a member of my recession Resistant list) http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevesc...ys-earnings-should-be-up-25/?partner=yahootix http://www.forbes.com/sites/zacks/2...oks-like-fertile-investment/?partner=yahootix http://finance.yahoo.com/news/monsanto-ups-guidance-130028361.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=MON+Key+Statistics http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=mon http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MON&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MON&t=5d&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=^GSPC http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MON&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: 50/47.50 bull put spread for $17 Yield = 17/233 = 7.3% in 214 days or 12.4% annualized Prob = 92% Expectation = .92(17) - .05(233) - .03(116) = 15.6 - 11.6 - 3.5 = 0.5 (many alternate trades available... e.g. a short put leading to a covered call... an ATM covered call yields about 17% annualized)
SGG: Brazil's sugar harvest is just about in but there are a lot of complex issues weighing on sugar prices: SUGAR Forty Year Trading Range: 2.30 cents to 66.00 cents per lb. Trades on the ICE from 2:30 a.m. to 1:00 p.m. CDT Weakness in the Brazilian real is beginning to weigh heavily on Sugar prices. Jonathan Kingsman, chairman of Swiss based Kingsman SA expects global Sugar prices to continue moving lower over the coming months if weakness in the real continues. We must monitor this situation closely. An increasing amount of Sugar is being used to refine ethanol and used as a sweetener to boot. Competing more and more with corn; itâs come to a point where weather in the growing areas of Brazil and India could become less important and Sugar may trade in step with grains. Is Sugar a grain in disguise? This sounds awfully strange to me, but things do change and traders have no choice but to change with them. China is expecting a 2 million tonne shortfall in domestic Sugar production this season. Australian Sugar industry executives expect Chinese import demand and regional supply tightness to hold Sugar prices at a premium to benchmark global prices. This technically oversold market could use a correction to the upside. I am not saying itâs going to happen, but it certainly could. http://www.insidefutures.com/article/664769/The Soft Spot(67).html http://seekingalpha.com/article/546...sumers-bad-news-for-shareholders?source=yahoo I expected sugar to flatten out about now based on its 5 year graph and supply issues. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SGG&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=c&c= http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SGG&t=3m&l=off&z=l&q=c&c= A brave trade would be a Aug 70/80 bull call spread on SGG for a $500 debit: SGG.................P/L 65..................(500) 70..................(500) 75.....................0 80...................500 85...................500 I am sorely tempted but I need just one more indication of a bottom here. The time is right but the graph is not. Where will SGG open tomorrow??