Confused by the inflation news - effect on Forex?

Discussion in 'Forex' started by hanneswas, Oct 20, 2021.

  1. hanneswas

    hanneswas

    The new inflation news from BoE on the GBP stated that the inflation will be higher.
    I would have expected the GBP to go down. Instead, GBP/USD runs up.
    Screenshot from 2021-10-20 18-32-28.png

    Is this only because USD is going down?

    Would really appreciate any reasonable explanations on the current movements.

    Thank you very much!
     
  2. Why are you trading on the news? Chart of GBP/USD has strong upside momentum. "It's not possible to react to your way to investment success." (can't remember who said that, but relevant quote)
     
    tomorton likes this.
  3. BoE stated they may raise rates soon, which would be before the Fed and ECB. FX trades on rate differentials and trends towards long term ppp equilibrium (law of one price).
     
    Atikon and hanneswas like this.
  4. hanneswas

    hanneswas

    All right, that may explain the strong up move.
    Thank you!
     
  5. hanneswas

    hanneswas

    I am not really trading the news. I have a short position on Gbpusd and would like it to go down. :)
     
  6. hanneswas

    hanneswas

    If BoE raises the rated to 1.2%,
    How much movement may we expect if USD is still on 0.1?
     
  7. Why are you short? Just curious.
     
  8. you can model it
     
  9. Just saw a lot of momentum on this one.

    upload_2021-10-20_14-58-20.png
     
  10. hanneswas

    hanneswas

    What are we looking at? :) Candles (timeframe?) and rsi cross?
     
    #10     Oct 20, 2021