concept for adjoining (rough) realized index values to the (smooth) interpolated term structure curv

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by steve42, Oct 21, 2023.

  1. destriero

    destriero


    lol ur weak.
     
    #51     Nov 5, 2023
  2. destriero

    destriero


    In before your ignore is broken. Dude, delete this thread.
     
    #52     Nov 5, 2023
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    How about just using imp vol to project the next day(s) range?

    (Imp vol * sqrt (days/365 * Probability Factor) ) * Price

    Probability Factor (i.e. Standard Deviation) is selected by trader depending on market/historical volatility fudging a little if needed.

    Is it the greatest, prolly not ... shrugs its all I got.
     
    #53     Nov 5, 2023
  4. steve42

    steve42

    No really that took about less than 20 seconds
     
    #54     Nov 5, 2023
  5. destriero

    destriero

    My apologies… I thought you were @steve46. I should have done a quick check of post-history. Doesn’t change the argument but I wouldn’t have come across as such a hard on.
     
    #55     Nov 6, 2023
  6. steve42

    steve42

    Lol damn. Fair enough
     
    #56     Nov 6, 2023