Comparison of estimated and actual financial results

Discussion in 'Strategy Development' started by m.runner, Oct 1, 2010.

  1. m.runner


    Have anybody tried to trade on a comparison of estimated and actual values? I mean that in case of exceeding the second one, we have the stock to buy. List of values to compare: EPS, sales volume, etc.

    I created a test portfolio nearly three weeks ago. What stock to buy is defined on the comparison of EPS. How much to buy is defined by know-how money management rule. When to sell is defined by know-how technical wave stop.

    I wanted to test the strategy rule over longer period but I just have history for actual financial results.

    So, have you tried the rule? And how do you test a strategy with no history available?