I've mainly been trading the NQ and ES but am now looking into the YM (Dow) and ER2 (Russel 2000) futures. First I wanted to do a comparison so I knew the pros and cons. I thought I'd share that with you. It may not be complete, nor even perfectly correct (some of it is subjective), but for me it worked. Figures are for September 2003. Contract NQ: Nasdaq 100 e-mini - cme ES: S&P 500 e-mini - cme ER2: Russel 2000 e-mini - cme YM: Dow e-mini - cbot Index value (Sept 2003) - $/pt - $/contract - inital margin (TS) â âpurchasing powerâ NQ: 1350 â 20 â 27000 â 2250 - 12 ES: 1000 â 50 â 50000 â 3563 - 14 ER2: 500 â 100 â 50000 â 3000 - 17 YM: 10000 â 5 â 50000 â 2700 - 19 Pts/tick - $/tick â equals % per contract NQ: 0.5 â 10 â 0.037% ES: 0.25 â 12.5 â 0.025% ER2: 0.1 â 10 â 0.020% YM: 1 â 5 â 0.010% Usual spread in pts â in $ - in % per contract NQ: 0.5 â 10 â 0.037% ES: 0.25 â 12.5 â 0.025% ER2: 0.2 â 20 â 0.040% (often 0.1 pts, but very thin on each level, so likely getting 0.2?) YM: 1 â 5 â 0.010% Average day H/L % NQ: 2.3% ES: 1.6% ER2: 1.6% YM: 1.6% Volume per day â equals BUSD NQ: 270000 â 7.3 ES: 700000 - 35 ER2: 16000 â 0.8 YM: 50000 â 2.5 Volume per minute avg â usual during non doldrums hours NQ: 667 - 1500 ES: 1728 - 3000 ER2: 40 - 100 YM: 123 - 300 Averagel noise compared to ES, where noise is how much it moves in % when in tight 5-10 min range NQ: 2 ES: 1 ER2: 1 YM: 1 Some of my conclusions from this - besides the obvious from the above - are: * NQ is much noisier than the other futures, needing about twice as large initial stops (calculated in %). If I use a stop of 1.5 pts in ES, the stop in NQ equals about 4.0 pts (1.5 x noise x (1350/1000), if thatâs what estimated for not being whipsawed too often. * An advantage with NQ is that more contracts can be bought, thus easier to scale in and out of with less money/risk, if thatâs your trading style. * NQ has an advantage of greater movements in % during a day. Often, the clear moves in NQ are as much as twice as large in % compared to the other futures. * If trading ER2, due to very thin volume, it may be wise to use tick-charts, specially if relying on signals from indicators. * All contracts listed above are tradeable in my opinion. If you have any comments, expansions or disagreements on this comparison, Iâd be glad to hear them.
Interesting post granville x. One thing I would add is the effect of commissions, particularly when trading the Mini-Dow. For example, at $5.00/rt, commissions equal 1 tick in the YM as opposed to .4 ticks for the ES. For scalpers or very active traders, that could be a significant factor.
Thanks for pulling it all together in your post. I am interested if anybody has traded ER2? It has recently rallied nicely. Michael B.
I was wondering how YM traders factored in the increased commission. Brokers must love their YM traders. Michael B.
You also have to take into account which exchanges do not have a maximum position size or a maximum order size programmed into their systems so that some rogue clerk can come along and 'accidentally' enter a market order to sell 10,000 YM and then arb the difference between how the ACE system collapses and how the S&P floor handles the imbalance.
Yes, commission was something I missed in my post. For all the above mentioned index futures, the commission at TS is $5.60 per RT and contract, a bit less at IB. Calculated in percent of the contract value: ES, ER2, YM: 5.60 / 50000 =0.011% of contract value NQ = 5.60 / 27000 = 0.021% of contract value I'd say the NQ commission is the highest?
PuffyGums, thanks, I guess you're right that the added risk in the thinner contracts should be taken into account.
Granville x, a helpful comparison of the index contracts. What has been your experience of speed and liquidity when trading larger sizes?
I trade ER2 using a swing method with 3to 10 day swing. It is less volatile than the ES and NQ and trends much better and also currently has higher relative strength.
Do you use an indicator based swing method. I am a swing trader too. Do you rely on ES signals to enter ER2? Can you share a little more about trading the ER2? I do not think many trade it, so it is tough to find a trader to ask questions of. Do you have any liquidity problems. Can you get multiple contracts filled with no probem. Does this instrument have the same slow lunch time period? Are the hours traded from 8:30cst to 15:15cst? Is it 24hr.? Michael B.