Compare & Contrast with Christopher Lewis

Discussion in 'Journals' started by expiated, Oct 8, 2017.

  1. expiated

    expiated

    Screenshot_2.png
    Make sure that you only time you exit the "four-hour cloud" is if you're doing so on the same side that matches the slope of the dynamic/adjustable eight-hour price range envelope.
     
    #571     May 12, 2023
  2. expiated

    expiated

    Guess what bro? Your four-hour cloud is NOT four hours—it's seven! Did you change something at some point in the past?
     
    #572     May 12, 2023
  3. expiated

    expiated

    Market Overview.png
     
    Last edited: May 13, 2023
    #573     May 13, 2023
  4. expiated

    expiated

    Since the "cloud" already belongs to ichimoku, I'm going to call this the "One Look Causeway" strategy. It is used specifically on five minute charts. Positions are entered when candlesticks form on the side of the causeway that is opposite the direction of the slope of the triple dark-green baselines (as the brown instantaneous moving averages cross over the black trigger lines in the desired direction).

    Hopefully, price will break through the light-green causeway so that traders can pocket their gains as soon as the brown instantaneous moving averages cross back over the black trigger lines headed in the "wrong" direction.

    causeway_strategy.png

    Ideally, this should be done in a manner (during periods) that conforms with the contention that intraday trades should ultimately flow in the direction of the slope of the eight-hour (NOT the four-hour) trend. In more simple terms, short positions should be entered when the one-hour (54-minutes) causeway is beneath the eight-hour causeway; and long positions should be entered when the 54-minute causeway is above the eight-hour causeway.

    (And of course, the four-hour baseline should match the direction of the trades/positions as well.)

    This is how positions are to be monitored and managed, as opposed to using a pseudo swing trading style of trading. Though this technique is based on the latter, it is designed to maximize profits by trading with greater precision, and to practically avoid almost ANY losses by exiting positions with profit before the longer-term price flow ever has an opportunity to turn the tables with a fully-fledged reversal.
     
    #574     May 13, 2023
  5. expiated

    expiated

    Screenshot_4.png

    The table in Post #573 mixed up GBPUSD and GBPJPY. In any case, I purchased GBPJPY and EURJPY last Friday, and this is where the Cable-Yen is now...

    GBPJPY.iH1.png

    Since EURJPY's day-to-day bias is now bearish, and given that I have no plans to monitor and manage these two positions, I'm going to pocket my gains from the Euro-Yen now for about 15 pips worth of profit. (I'm going to try to hang with GBPJPY for as long as the four-hour baseline continues to advance.)

    UPDATE: Actually, GBPJPY has gone nowhere in the last 40 minutes, so I went ahead and locked in my profits at about 38 pips.
     
    Last edited: May 14, 2023
    #575     May 14, 2023
  6. expiated

    expiated

    If USDCHF's four-day price flow truly is turning north, then the pair becomes a strong buy candidate as soon as it enters the shaded area, and more so the deeper it penetrates into the region. At that point, it simply becomes a matter of waiting for price to turn around to initiate its escape...

    USDCHFH4.png
     
    #576     May 15, 2023
  7. expiated

    expiated

    GBPUSD still has more room to rise, if it decides to resume it's climb.
     
    #577     May 15, 2023
  8. expiated

    expiated

    GBPUSD has decided NOT to resume its climb (for the time being, at least). However, EURGBP is now in a nice position to go back to falling (that is of course, IF it decides to do so).
     
    #578     May 16, 2023
  9. expiated

    expiated

    Fortunately, I woke up this morning just before the USA Retail Sales numbers were scheduled to be released, and managed to exit my EURGBP short position with profit right before that happened...

    Screenshot_2.png
     
    #579     May 16, 2023
  10. expiated

    expiated

    Screenshot_2.png

    Here's what I find after continuing to rely on the pseudo swing trading information, but applying it in more of a day trading manner...

    Whereas the strict application of the former approach points to the four-hour baseline in conjunction with the eight-hour and four-day price range (price flow) envelopes as the backbone of the system; transferring these measures to the day trading environment has me essentially dismissing the four-day measure as irrelevant, deleting the four-hour baseline as lagging, and relying instead on the eight-hour price range envelope for overall direction with the 90-minute channel suggesting the more immediate directional tendency and the 15-minute channel tracking the trajectory of the "actionable" trend.

    Screenshot_4.png
     
    #580     May 16, 2023