Commodity futures as a predictor of geopolitical unrest?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by jjchoi, Dec 2, 2012.

  1. jjchoi


    Hey guys. Some advice would be greatly appreciated.

    I'm looking for published cases/studies (academic journals would be ideal) which show empirically that major moves in commodity futures prices preceded major geopolitical unrest (ie., terrorist attacks, invasion of oil exporting countries, wars, etc.).
  2. 1) Do you attend DePaul or Loyola? :confused:
    2) You might find some of what you're looking for at and/or :cool:
    3) The stock market may be a better baromeeter of anticipating calamity than commodities. Generally, a bear market has to occur before the necessary "psychology" is in place to bring about the expected strife. :eek: :(