Colorado Prediction Model Gives Romney 77% Odds To Win Popular Vote

The University of Colorado (CU) prediction renowned for perfect accuracy will predict a popular-vote win for Mitt Romney later this month, Campus Reform has learned.

The poll has accurately predicted every presidential election since it was developed in 1980. It is unique in that it employs factors outside of state economic indicators to predict the next president.

Professor Michael Berry from the University of Colorado told Campus Reform in an exclusive interview that there is a 77 percent chance Romney will win the popular vote.

“Our model indicates that Governor Romney has a 77 percent likelihood of winning the popular vote,” said Berry.

That number is significant, not only in its size, but because of the fact that only four presidents since the nation’s founding have won the presidency without capturing the popular vote, the last being George W. Bush in 2000.

http://www.campusreform.org/blog/?ID=4435

 

This is what happens when you rely on models without any actual track record.

 

+1

Idiots like pspr believed in models with no track record while actual presidential history has incumbents winning 70 % of the time,even higher if you factor out 3rd party challengers,no primary challengers,if the country is at war,if the incumbent took office by being elected or succession etc