CNN Van Jones - Trump Became President last night

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Mar 1, 2017.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Final RCP poll was 1 point off.
     
    #31     Mar 2, 2017
  2. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    National polls don't predict electoral results,they predict which candidate more people will vote for.

    I don't think it was unskewing,I think it was The head of The FBI stating she was back under investigation that brought her numbers down.
     
    #32     Mar 2, 2017
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The national polls for President in the U.S. are conducted on a state-by-state basis with the intent of determining the electoral results. Without the emphasis on electoral results these polls would be useless to both the media and campaigns.
     
    #33     Mar 2, 2017
  4. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    They are conducted in different states,but the intent is not determining the electoral results.Most of the national polls don't do many state specific polls like they do nationally and leave state polling to lesser pollsters,colleges and new stations
     
    #34     Mar 2, 2017
  5. fhl

    fhl

    Yes, I know. That's 50% off for the math challenged.
     
    #35     Mar 2, 2017
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    How much was Trump off when stating he had the biggest electoral victory since Reagan?
     
    #36     Mar 2, 2017
  7. fhl

    fhl


    I don't think about non relevant things. Inflating the numbers before the election was an attempt to steal a presidential election.

    Sad!
     
    #37     Mar 2, 2017
  8. jem

    jem

    actually national polls don't predict shit... until the last week or so before the election.

    they take a sample and ask who would you vote for today. not who are you going to vote for in 3 months.

    its an important distinction because in general the independents moved towards trump, then away, then back. had the polls been using honest templates samples we would have seen that movement. We also saw never trump republicans moved towards trump a little bit in the end.

    But what we saw is the polls were changing their templates to hide the movement and the fact the race was very close and within the margin of error or just outside the whole time except for the short period of time the independents back off the trump wagon.

    As I told you on that thread many times the polls templates were garbage. Had they used the templates they used during the last 2 weeks you would have seen the race was very close the whole time.

    Do you recall hillary losing 10 points in the abc poll during the unskewing?
    That was crooked poll for the entire season until the unskewing.

    poll after poll was like that.


    -

    Lets say you were correct...
    it is possible that the independents moved away from trump... with his filthy remark and then they moved back with the comey remark.

    Isn't it a damn same we could not see that in the polls because their templates had been so crooked?

    it takes an algo to point that out?
    The polls were garbage.





     
    #38     Mar 2, 2017
  9. achilles28

    achilles28

    Maybe send an email to Hillary and let her know it's the electoral college that determines presidential winners? And not the popular vote?
     
    #39     Mar 2, 2017
  10. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    If you think polls being 1 point off was an attempt to steal a presidential election thats sad.
     
    #40     Mar 2, 2017