Classic Geometric Patterns and Narrow Range Setups

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by inandlong, Oct 11, 2003.

  1. jem

    jem

    no --- thanks for the new bookmark. I look forward to checking it out.
     
    #391     Dec 1, 2006
  2. Might get some lunch money here. AEOS 15 minute chart.
     
    #392     Dec 5, 2006
  3. Lunch is served. :)
     
    #393     Dec 5, 2006
  4. Given the historical volatility of this stock it doesn't seem likely that the current lack thereof will continue.

    AEOS 60 minute:
     
    #394     Dec 7, 2006
  5. SEPR Sepracor Daily Chart:

    This pattern is ~ 15-16 days long. The classic break should occur 1/2 - 2/3 of the way into the pattern which would be days 8-11. Today is day 6.
     
    #395     Dec 11, 2006
  6. Two days ago I posted the SEPR chart pattern. The next day the low breached the lower boundary of the triangle slightly but closed within. Today's range was within the pattern, also.

    But let's presume in your own scanning that today is the first day you saw SEPR. You'd have to draw the pattern as I have it indicated by the dark red lower boundary. So is there a material difference between today's pattern and Monday's? I don't think so.

    The purpose of drawing these patterns is just to help you see the consolidation. Yes there is some statistical hint as to direction with some of the patterns, ie., some are considered continuation and some are reversal. But you don't want to get hung up on that. What you want to do is trade the break.

    The safest entry will occur outside the range of the first day of this pattern and on strong volume. And it is not uncommon for pattern breaks to retrace to the broken boundary before continuing the move.

    Btw, today was an NR7ID. Also, I'm a believer in moving average support and resistance. Looking at this chart, one might conclude that others are too. As such, beware of a breakdown with the 20sma just below. It will be interesting to see if price touches the bottom of the pattern the day the average does. For fun and potential profit, I'm going to buy it right there if it happens, and be quick to sell out and reassess if the support is broken.
     
    #396     Dec 12, 2006
  7. Flat out lucky today.

    SEPR daily: morning gap long 3 pts.

    Sometimes you get lucky and everything goes your way. But had I traded this in the most prudent manner, I wouldn't have been successful, only because I wouldn't be in. However, I said I would buy the 20 sma if it came into play a few days ago and I did. I confess that I didn't hit it with but 2k shares because I don't really know this stock. What's more, I sold half about midday yesterday for a nice profit, and held on to the other half to see how it would play out. Well, I got lucky with the morning gap, took it and am now flat.

    By far they don't work this way very often, but it's nice when they do. A few notes here though. First, the 20sma provided unbroken support moving up into the pattern. Second, the redrawn pattern was about 21 days long with the breakout action occurring between 1/2 and 2/3 into the pattern. Volume never really surged, until this morning - so again, if you weren't in it would be no fault to you.
     
    #397     Dec 21, 2006
  8. I dont see much talk here on ET about inside bars, and so I'll be posting charts and sim trades of inside bars on FX only, no smaller than a 1hr time frame using no indicators

    Here are some I found tonight. I'm new at trading these, so if anyone else has a few yrs under their belt trading ib's, id like to see your posts here.
     
    #398     Jul 29, 2010
  9. gbp/usd
     
    • gu.jpg
      File size:
      271.4 KB
      Views:
      110
    #399     Jul 29, 2010
  10. usd/cad
     
    #400     Jul 29, 2010