Classic Geometric Patterns and Narrow Range Setups

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by inandlong, Oct 11, 2003.

  1. Here is a 60 min chart of BRCM. The consolidation is clear. I tend to trade these similarly to TopGun' with respect to time frame, ie., I would be looking for a scalp versus a position.

    However, for those of you who read this and would care to comment:

    It seems to me that BRCM has built an ~ 3 year cup-and-handle as viewed on the weekly chart, and a 5 month cup-and-handle on the daily chart. I am not well-versed in this pattern and would appreciate commentary from those who are.

    Thanks.
     
    #321     Jan 6, 2005
  2. Nice call on the breakout, IAL.

    Did you get my PM ?

    Regards
    Oddi
     
    #322     Jan 8, 2005
  3. Yes I did, Oddi. Thanks for that info and I just sent the same back to you via PM.

    And thanks for keeping an eye on this thread. Your ideas are always welcome here.
     
    #323     Jan 8, 2005
  4. himself

    himself

    Does this this look okay?
     
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    #324     Jan 12, 2005
  5. Very nice chart, himself. I didn't know price per board-ft moved around that much. It looks like at least an NRID4. Normally I would be hesitant to trade a break following the recent volatility.... except in Lumber it looks like there isn't much consolidation, only NR days and trend days!

    Thanks again for the chart, h'.
     
    #325     Jan 12, 2005
  6. Can you elaborate a little on your thoughts here? I interpret what you are saying as since volatility works in cycles low to high back to low, since chart is coming out of a higher volatility period, then it is the wrong time to focus on it.

    any further insight you have would be great.
     
    #326     Jan 12, 2005
  7. You have it right mdl', as far as what I am thinking. I have never tested the idea so I cannot say statistically whether there is truth or not to my thoughts. However, I prefer to trade breaks that are coming out of several bars of consolidation. In LB though, it appears that price takes a one day break and then moves again.

    Thinskis has posted some very nice charts with hogs and cattle, ie., commodities. I wonder if the supply/demand nature of commodities provides for even better results than stocks.

    Attached is a chart of HSY (Hershey). Today's range as yet is very narrow, and the proximity of the sma's along with the position of the RSI and MACD make this an interesting chart for me. Note the large earnings-outlook related gap highlighted by the green line.
     
    #327     Jan 14, 2005
  8. There might be an opportunity here:
     
    #328     Jan 24, 2005
  9. hello "inandlong",

    thanks for the note, most kind

    you know, sometimes the ROC and your kind of setups work together, or to say it better, the NR7 & related are good filters for the ROC

    but the ROC can also be used to highlight low volatility points. on the Euro here, 2 days ago we had a ID/NR4, then Friday an outside day. no problem, the situation still exists, the ID/OD is a wind-up pattern too . . . and note here how the ROC is narrowing the swings and coming to an equilibrium point. just one more tool in the bag of "tricks" . . .

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=678303>
     
    #329     Jan 30, 2005
  10. seemed like the place needed a post . . .

    cows coming off an ID/NR4, ID/NR7 . . .

    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=702289>
     
    #330     Mar 9, 2005