That is probably the correct view. Getting long near 70 seems high probability. I am expecting an overall bounce in the markets this week, including CL. So i'm just playing for the swing. But you're right.....when 75 broke decisively that was probably a point where one should not get long again until it approaches that 70 support level. Starting to make me nervous...i might just take profit on a small bump to $75.
I have some support at 72.80 and then major support at 71.80 (plus 20 ticks for early birds, minus 20 ticks to consider them broken).