CL Redux

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 9, 2009.

  1. No sense in holding over night I'll take the money and run at 72.70
     
    #801     Dec 16, 2009
  2. usman88

    usman88

    Yes. Psychology itself isn't quantifiable but you can use it to get measured results. I can't explain it because it would simply take too much time which I don't have but Ill quote some examples as we go on. Nowadays I am working on a strategy in which intraday psychology plays an important part. The result is attached for 3 different accounts. All are exits of long positions initiated earlier in the day. You can see the tick perfect result as market high is 7355 for today .

    I am not saying that by incorporating psychology you will get tick perfect results but your accuracy in determining range would improve drastically
     
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    #802     Dec 16, 2009
  3. EON Kid

    EON Kid

    lol 73.55 from psychology. If you cant determine 73.55 for an exit you shouldnt be trading.
    How stupid do you think we are???
     
    #803     Dec 16, 2009
  4. Folks, everyone is entitled to their own opinions so let's keep this thread civil.

    Frankly, I have no idea how you derived at 73.55 purely from a psychological standpoint nor have you divulged much in your post that I could use to connect the dots. But that's not to say that market psychology should be relegated as useless. By all means, it's important. But I'm of the belief that market psychology is a lagging indicator where it typically trails behind prices. In other words, it's already priced in.
     
    #804     Dec 16, 2009
  5. I am trying hard to understand how psychology told you that 7355 was going to be the days high. Please enlighten me.

    Thanks in advance.
     
    #805     Dec 16, 2009
  6. It Looked to me that 7355 was hit today just from an attempt to run stops. Unless you are saying that an attempt to run stops is psychology
     
    #806     Dec 17, 2009
  7. 72.55 was the 100 day ma for the dec contract. I hate expiration time. The Feb contract bounced hardcore off the 200 day but jan didn't reach it. I never really pay that much attention to further out months but I have been lately and it just confuses me. I'm still looking for 67 on the jan but I must wait for the pa to tell that it's going there.
     
    #807     Dec 17, 2009
  8. Ok - makes ¢. I would never have seen that as I don't use MA's at all.
     
    #808     Dec 17, 2009
  9. Short just got filled at 73.85 using a tight stop because I'm kinda guessing
     
    #809     Dec 17, 2009
  10. Moved stop to b/e don't want to waste a sweet fill on a loser
     
    #810     Dec 17, 2009