CL Redux

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 9, 2009.

  1. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    I use the 20-bar EMA on the daily chart for larger S/R levels. For example today the ES should sell off if it failed to break through 1190. Indeed there was a nice reversal off 1189.75.

    I use the 20 EMA on the 5-min charts for entries with a trend (enter when support or resistance is established at a rising or falling 20). In a strong trend price rarely pulls back to the 20, so I then cross-reference a 3-min chart and use the 20 on that chart for entries. For example, say you sat at your platform around 7:30 ET this morning and wanted to join the uptrend in CL at a good price. Normally you'd wait for price to pull back to the rising 20-bar EMA and buy there. But you can see that the pullbacks are very shallow, so if you cross-reference the 3-min chart, you get a long entry signal right around 7:54am when support is established at the 20 EMA in that time frame. In very strong trends you can jump right in anywhere, like I did yesterday with ES as it was selling off. Screw the EMA's, I'm jumping off the cliff with all the other lemmings, and asking questions later :D

    When a trend has been on for a while and looks overextended you can counter-trend trade (I do that sometimes), wait for the lower high/higher low or DT/DB (I do that more often), or if you're very conservative wait for the first bar that closes above/below the 20 EMA counter to the previous trend. So this morning on a 5-min chart of CL, the 9:40am bar closed below the 20. When the following bar fails to break through that previous bar's high, you have a fully confirmed short signal (lower highs and break of trend).

    It's more like training wheels for me than anything else, mainly because so many traders follow it, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
     
    #6151     Apr 28, 2010
  2. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Was this the lamest reaction to inventories you've ever seen??
     
    #6152     Apr 28, 2010
  3. schizo

    schizo

    LOL. Not quite so. But, speaking of which, can I brag just a bit?

    [​IMG]
     
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    #6153     Apr 28, 2010
  4. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    QM, what's this QM??


    Do you ever sleep?


    :D
     
    #6154     Apr 28, 2010
  5. JamesL

    JamesL

    4 QM? Why not just do 2 CL and get the pennies rather than surrendering 2.5 cents per tick?
     
    #6155     Apr 28, 2010
  6. Long at 82 going for a buck on the upside, stop 81.63
     
    #6156     Apr 28, 2010
  7. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Schiz, I'm gonna PM you my cell phone #. Next time you're planning to pick an exact bottom in the middle of the night, please call.
     
    #6157     Apr 28, 2010
  8. schizo

    schizo

    Because the daily chart for CL is a real mess. Also I didn't get a fill last week for CL. There was like a 5-tick disparity between CL and QM.

    BTW I was actually asleep this morning. :)
     
    #6158     Apr 28, 2010
  9. cstfx

    cstfx

    nice.
     
    #6159     Apr 28, 2010
  10. Looking very strong....i can't believe how long it took me to come around to "Buy The dips" on crude....
     
    #6160     Apr 28, 2010