CL Redux

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 9, 2009.

  1. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-higher-pushes-toward-107-a-barrel-2011-04-13


    SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Crude-oil futures added to their advance Wednesday, recouping some of their recent steep losses, as a weekly government report showed supplies in line with expectations.

    1/ Crude for May added $1, or 1%, to $107.26. That followed Tuesday’s loss of 3.3%, marking oil’s lowest settlement in almost two weeks.

    The Energy Information Administration said
    -- U.S. supplies of crude increased 1.6 million barrels in the week ended April 8, as expected by analysts polled by Platts.

    -- decrease for gasoline inventories of 7 million barrels.
    -- Distillates supplies fell 2.7 million barrels.
    Both figures showed deeper declines than forecast.
    -- Analysts expected a decrease of 1.3 million for gasoline and unchanged stocks of distillates, which include diesel and heating oil.

    - Crude futures had traded at $106.55 a barrel before the report.
    - Gasoline for May delivery added 6 cents, May heating oilgained 3 cents, or 1%, to $3.21 a gallon.

    2/ The report’s “eye-opening” number was unleaded gasoline, said Tariq Zahir, managing member of Tyche Capital Advisors in New York. The large draw was not entirely a surprise, as refiners are undergoing maintenance switching to summer gasoline blends, he added.

    “The fundamental picture on crude supplies remains bearish. ... Barring a new geopolitical headline, we feel any strength in the energy markets will be short lived,” Zahir added.


    3/ On Tuesday, several economists lowered their estimates for first-quarter U.S. growth, and crude prices fell as investors feared reduced economic activity will translate into less need for oil.

    In a short-term outlook report released Tuesday, <b>the EIA forecast retail gasoline prices to peak at $3.91 a gallon in early summer and average $3.86 a gallon during the driving season, which started April 1 and will end Sept. 30. Prices averaged $2.76 a gallon last summer.</b>

    4/ The agency also projected a 0.5% increase in gasoline consumption compared with the previous summer. With the projected increase in gasoline prices, vehicle fueling costs for the average <b>U.S. household will be $825 higher this year than in 2010. </b>
    ( that is for 5 months APR - SEPT )
     
    #19961     Apr 13, 2011
  2. Visaria

    Visaria

    short 54, stop 20 t
     
    #19962     Apr 13, 2011
  3. Visaria

    Visaria

    added at 605, covered the lot at 545 :D .
     
    #19963     Apr 13, 2011
  4. Yeesh, I got the first leg but missed the second (too busy over-thinking to enter). Here's to the third . . .
     
    #19964     Apr 13, 2011
  5. schizo

    schizo

    Oh, why, oh, why?

    Give me 104.50!

    (will flip long at 104.50)
     
    #19965     Apr 13, 2011
  6. Visaria

    Visaria

    Are u still in?
     
    #19966     Apr 13, 2011
  7. No, got in at .53 on the break of the descending triangle, out at .06 (for lack of balls), then watched the price fly down as I was entering a buy stop at .91.
     
    #19967     Apr 13, 2011
  8. one possible pattern ( basically alternating )

    today close 106.90
    tomorrow close 104.50
    friday close 107.50
     
    #19968     Apr 13, 2011
  9. Visaria

    Visaria

    Made my day, that last trade. I had a 100 tick winner earlier in the day, but after that, it was just chop.
     
    #19969     Apr 13, 2011
  10. short 106.10
     
    #19970     Apr 13, 2011