CL Redux

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 9, 2009.

  1. BCE

    BCE

    April 12, 2011, 11:06 a.m. EDT
    Oil drops more than 3% on demand fears
    International Energy Agency: High prices denting demand growth

    By Claudia Assis and Polya Lesova , MarketWatch

    SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Crude futures stumbled more than 3% Tuesday as U.S. equities traded sharply lower and a rash of pessimistic views on U.S. economic growth after weak trade data raised fresh doubts about oil demand.

    Light, sweet crude for May delivery (NEW:CLK11) fell $3.50, or 3.2%, to $106.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have fallen more than $6 a barrel since Friday.

    On Monday, the contract dropped 2.5%, its biggest one-day percentage decline in a month.

    U.S. trade activity softened in February, the Commerce Department estimated Tuesday. Read more about trade activity in the U.S.

    That led several economists to lower their estimates for first-quarter U.S. growth, affecting crude prices as reduced economic activity translates into less need for oil.

    Moreover, in its monthly report released Tuesday, the International Energy Agency said preliminary data for January and February suggest that “high prices are already starting to dent demand growth.”

    The IEA also said global oil output fell by 700,000 barrels a day to 88.3 million barrels a day in March on reduced Libyan crude supply.

    Oil-rich Libya has been torn by violent political unrest in recent weeks.

    A cease-fire deal reportedly brokered by the African Union with embattled leader Col. Moammar Gadhafi was rejected by rebel forces Tuesday. Libya’s rebel leadership refused to agree to the peace proposal because it did not provide for Gadhafi’s departure, according to reports.

    Meanwhile, IG Markets strategist Ben Potter said the drop in oil prices came after the International Monetary Fund cut its estimate of gross-domestic-product growth for the U.S. and Japan. Potter also cited a note from Goldman Sachs as a drag on oil prices.

    In a note to clients, Goldman analysts advised investors to close out of some commodities trades, and they said they expect Brent crude futures to drop to $105 in the near future.

    Even with the loss of Libyan production, the oil market has “adequate inventory” and spare production to avoid a repeat of tightness seen in 2008, the Goldman analysts said.

    Brent for May delivery retreated $3.39, or 2.7%, to $120.59 a barrel on ICE Futures in London.

    “Not only are there now nascent signs of oil-demand destruction in the U.S., but also the record speculative length in the oil market, elections in Nigeria and a potential cease-fire in Libya that has begun to offset some of the upside risk owing to contagion,” they added in a note released Tuesday.
     
    #19801     Apr 12, 2011
  2. pauk

    pauk

    hehe...done that yesterday and got whipped to death, lol.
     
    #19802     Apr 12, 2011
  3. EON Kid

    EON Kid

    [​IMG]
     
    #19803     Apr 12, 2011
  4. BCE

    BCE

    That wouldn't be our chart here. Just paid $4.17 a gallon last night. :)
     
    #19804     Apr 12, 2011
  5. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    I had a counter-trend swing trade once on a stock where I came to that realization $6500 red dollars later :eek:

    For all you counter-trend traders who know that price reverts to the 20 EMA 100% guaranteed, your 100% guarantee is now being realized!

    ADD: That moving average definitely can move, though.
     
    #19805     Apr 12, 2011
  6. EON Kid

    EON Kid

    #19806     Apr 12, 2011
  7. pauk

    pauk

    short 106.39
    with the trend
    25c stop
     
    #19807     Apr 12, 2011
  8. Picaso

    Picaso

    At BE now

    Close, Reverse or Hold?

    Ok, stop at BE, after taking soooooome heeeeeeat

    Kid, what do you still think of targeting 107.91?
     
    #19808     Apr 12, 2011
  9. Visaria

    Visaria

    Paid the equivalent of almost $10 here in London :mad: .
     
    #19809     Apr 12, 2011
  10. Picaso

    Picaso

    20 EMA flattening (5').

    Good luck, even if you're fading me :)
     
    #19810     Apr 12, 2011