CL Redux

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 9, 2009.

  1. Perhaps a way to continue with the strategy of moving the stops to b/e and to catch a potentially big move is to do the following: suppose price retraces and closes out at b/e, when it changes direction again, then re-enter at b/e or slightly beyond the b/e point.

    Hopefully, this makes sense...


     
    #11671     Oct 14, 2010
  2. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    These breakdowns are just surreal. Why am I trading 1 lot????
     
    #11672     Oct 14, 2010
  3. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    I always try to do that, when the original setup seems valid. Sometimes that b/e stop out is almost to the tick and then price runs away so fast it's scary to chase a re-entry. Breakout levels (whether it's a bar breakout or a pivot breakout) tend to be retested to shake out the players who entered there, so I try to get a quick re-entry when possible.
     
    #11673     Oct 14, 2010
  4. gov

    gov

    I bet you rubbed all the fur off your rabbit's foot on that one!!
     
    #11674     Oct 14, 2010
  5. Picaso

    Picaso

    Be a man and trade with 2 cars


    :D :p (totally j/k, you rock girl)
     
    #11675     Oct 14, 2010
  6. gov

    gov

    What year is 20XX anyway??

    Gotta go feed the horsies, back in a few... Range or down, that is the question.
     
    #11676     Oct 14, 2010
  7. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    LMAO! Where'd you find that?
     
    #11677     Oct 14, 2010
  8. You're right... as that can be sooo frustrating... Well, as Steve Cohen said, this is a business where you simply will lose often. He said that most of his good traders only win about 55% of the time, and his best trader only wins about 60% of the time. Therefore, it's critical to have trade management that ensures the winners are larger than the loosers.



     
    #11678     Oct 14, 2010
  9. Picaso

    Picaso

    #11679     Oct 14, 2010
  10. One trade today, after a bunch that I didn't take because I was being a pansy. All would have been profitable trades assuming correct trade management. I thought it was funny too because NoDoji mentioned the "one big red bar is followed by another big red bar." I was thinking the exact same thing, but I didn't take it.

    Decided to just continue to trade in sim for the rest of the week to start fresh on Monday.

    My only trade was one that made sense, but I wasn't sure whether I should wait for a second entry. I ended up getting into the trade at 83.06 on the break of the 11:45 bar. We had a big run down and at that area I had an uptrend line drawn parallel from the HH channel line. It went in my favor instantly. It seemed like it was having some trouble going up so I moved my stop quickly. Then it bounced up some more and looked like it was having trouble again so I just closed it for +5. Thinking about how I manage my trades, it hit my target exactly, but assuming I didn't get a fill, I would have still gotten out at +5 so it's a profit that I'm willing to accept.

    I was just playing around with my account performance screen for the month of October since I haven't taken a live trade yet. Even all of the trades I took for October would have made me slightly positive after 15 sim trades. It's starting to confirm in my mind that I don't have to worry about one single trade if I just keep plugging away finding high(er) probability trades that make sense.

    Counting any trade profit as profitable and any loss as a loss, my % profitable is 68.75%, but that includes trades that I've gotten stopped out at BE+1. The only thing I'm afraid of is that I think some of my trades have been trades where I just said, "let's see what happens" so that is really the only thing that kind of makes me hesitate.

    This was longer than I thought it would be. Now that all of the miners have been rescued I can stop watching the news causing me to stay up so late. Pretty remarkable, in my opinion. I couldn't imagine having to go through that.
     
    #11680     Oct 14, 2010