Citi slamming the door on withdraws

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by Aaron Copland, Feb 15, 2008.

  1. ronblack

    ronblack

    You are missing nothing. You just refuse to look at things the correct way. Banks do NOT own deposits, the customers do. Not only that, they can withdraw deposits on demand, even CDs with a penalty.

    Banks own the loans they make. In turn the borrowers owe the money to the banks.

    If someone does not understand these basic notions, then he may think the banking system is broken when looking at the reports.

    Also remember that the FED can always take care ANY banking problems by printing money while risking inflationary pressures. This is what it's done at this point. It will succeed because this happened at the beginning of a recession cycle, meaning that inflationary pressure will NOT be sustainable.

    Many people do not understand that banking problems are harder to fix at the beginning of an expansion cycle than at the end, like in the current situation.

    There is no banking problem that cannot be taken care of and the US Economy will be much stronger two years from now while the Dow Jones will climb to new highs.

    Also you will be surprised to hear that the subprime story has positives and not only negatives. You mostly heard the negative side of it because those that lost money screamed loud.

    I think subprime losses were part of a zero sum game and the net effect on the economy is, or will be, at the end of the day ZERO.

    Ron
     
    #11     Feb 16, 2008
  2. "You are missing nothing. You just refuse to look at things the correct way"

    Sounds like a contradiction.
     
    #12     Feb 16, 2008
  3. bellman

    bellman

    They are not zero sum. Somebody makes a commission, there is some paperwork, their is a cost in making the loan. Only zero sum if you look at a much bigger picture, ie. energy is neither created nor destroyed, except for by the fed of course.

     
    #13     Feb 16, 2008
  4. ronblack

    ronblack

    Not at all. You are using the correct terms, assets and liabilities. You are not missing anything in that respect. But you use the terms the wrong way.

    Ron
     
    #14     Feb 16, 2008
  5. ronblack

    ronblack

    Totally irrelevant. You can consider the players who make the commissions together with the players that win as one player. Same for losers.

    Ron
     
    #15     Feb 16, 2008
  6. Inflation during a recession is sustainable.
    Keynesian models will tell you that it is unsustainable, but those models were proven to be incomplete or wrong during the 1970's when recession and inflation hit at the same time.
     
    #16     Feb 16, 2008
  7. So the funds that investors put into the hedge fund made their way into the banks reserve deposits?
     
    #17     Feb 16, 2008
  8. The value of your asset is how much others are willing to bid. If there is no bid(illiquid), your asset value is 0.

    Yes i am sure in the subprime cdo case, the bid & liquidity will return down the road with the government and firms all pulling to resolve the problem as it's in everyone's best interest.

    But just in general, the statement that asset value is somehow not tied to liquidity is false.
     
    #18     Feb 16, 2008
  9. Cutten

    Cutten

    How can it be zero sum? Great amounts of labour and capital were employed to create services that have turned out to be, at best, of no value, and more likely to be of negative value (in the cases of fraud, deception, bad advice etc). Assets were created at a cost greater than their final market value. That is the epitome of negative sum.
     
    #19     Feb 17, 2008
  10. ronblack

    ronblack

    You got it. Not only that. The Banks can loan the money back to other hedge funds.

    Every hedge fund has one or more custodian bank. The money sits at the bank in an account in the name of the fund and it is a liability of the bank. The bank pays interest on the money to the fund and can loan it. Also, most funds trade with brokers using letters of credit.

    Ron
     
    #20     Feb 17, 2008