Chronicle of a Death Foretold ?

Discussion in 'Journals' started by jjrvat, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    (Live EUR/US Futures) Update

    11:56 GMT +1

    Random comments:

    1. Waiting for EUR German Factory Orders m/m. It's expected to support a stronger euro...

    2. After that my feeling is that Europe is going to get to the trendless lunch time period until US open

    jjrvat
     
    #71     Mar 7, 2007
  2. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    (Live EUR/US Futures) New Update

    12:05 GMT +1

    Random comments:

    1. EUR German Factory Orders m/m (-1.0). BIG NEWS... not only lower than expected but NEGATIVE. Stronger dollar in the short term? or the market will wait for ADP Nonfarm Employment Change? We'll see.

    jjrvat
     
    #72     Mar 7, 2007
  3. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    12:08 GMT +1 (Update Trade 2)

    Trade 3

    1. 12:07 AM (131.31). Price below 36 SMA? (No) Short (No)

    2. 12:00pm EUR German Factory Orders m/m (-1.0%)

    3. M2 BB hit? (No)
    M2 RSI oversold? (No)
    Daily pivot hit? (R1 131.42 Up / M10 36 SMA 131.30 / pivot 131.18(yes)

    Status: Waiting for confirmations to go short

    jjrvat
     
    #73     Mar 7, 2007
  4. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    12:38 GMT +1 (Update Trade 3)

    Trade 3 Cancelled 12:38

    Price (131.32)
    Reasons:

    1. Europe is going to lunch time (me too)
    2. Price moving around 131.30 for too long

    Random Comments:

    1. Although, the charts seems to show no chances to go down in the short term. I still think there is going to be one more pullback to the 131.20 area before US open... We'll see

    jjrvat
     
    #74     Mar 7, 2007
  5. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    14:00 GMT +1

    Random Comments:

    1. The charts were right and I was wrong in my prediction. No pullback to the 131.20 area before US open. In any case the system couldn’t allow me to go short: Price below 36 SMA? (no), M2 BB hit? (No), M2 RSI overbought? (No) …

    Status: waiting for 14:15 GMT+1 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change Report and US open for direction.

    If someone is interested in the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change Report http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/

    jjrvat
     
    #75     Mar 7, 2007
  6. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    14:09 GMT +1

    Random Comments:

    1. Price at 14:09 (131.44), next daily resistance pivot is 131.53.

    jjrvat
     
    #76     Mar 7, 2007
  7. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    14:18 GMT +1 (news update)

    Random Comments:

    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change Report (57K). Really bad. More than the actual number it reflects the tendency of the fundamentals for friday NFP. Weaker dollar in the short term.

    jjrvat
     
    #77     Mar 7, 2007
  8. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    14:19 GMT +1

    Status: waiting for the fundamentals behinfd the news to settle down and wait the US reaction the first 30 mins. Step aside.

    jjrvat
     
    #78     Mar 7, 2007
  9. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    14:57 GMT +1

    Trade 3

    1. 14:57 GMT+1 (131.46). Price above 36 SMA? (yes) Long (Yes)

    2. 14:15 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (57K) less than expected.
    Next news: 16:00 Crude Oil Inventories

    3. M2 BB hit? (No)
    M2 RSI oversold? (No)
    Daily pivot hit? (R1 131.42 otherwise M10 36SMA ) (No)

    Status: Waiting for confirmations to go long

    jjrvat
     
    #79     Mar 7, 2007
  10. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    15:17 GMT +1

    Trade 3

    1. At 15:04 price touched pivot point 131.42 but i didnt go long because RSI and BB ... Did I miss a trade again ????

    Status: Waiting for confirmations to go long

    jjrvat
     
    #80     Mar 7, 2007