Chronicle of a Death Foretold ?

Discussion in 'Journals' started by jjrvat, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 US Session: (Live Futures)

    15: 45 GMT +1

    Trade 2

    1. 15: 45 (133.48). Price above 36 SMA? (yes) long (yes)

    2. M2 RSI oversold? (no)
    M2 Confirmations (No)
    Daily pivot hit?: (No)

    Comments:
    1. Now after 45 min in a 4 pips channel, 131.47 looks like a nice long entry.... but

    Status: waitng for confirmation to go long

    jjrvat
     
    #181     Mar 21, 2007
  2. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 US Session: (Live Futures)

    16: 30 GMT +1 (133.48)

    Trade 2

    Comments:
    1. Tight range. 6 pips channel the last 1:30 min
    2. Price moving up and down M10 36 SMA with no clear sign for direction. Maybe the market is waiting for the 7:15pm USD Interest Rate Statement or at least for Europe to go home ....
    3. Today max possible move down is 133.25 (I doubt without news) and 133.95 up....

    Status: waiting for confirmations to go long or short

    jjrvat
     
    #182     Mar 21, 2007
  3. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 US Session: (Live Futures)

    17: 02 GMT +1

    Trade 2

    1. 17: 00 (133.51). Price above 36 SMA? (yes) long (yes)

    2. M2 RSI oversold? (no)
    M2 Confirmations (Yes)
    Daily pivot hit?: (Yes)

    Status: Long at 133.51

    jjrvat
     
    #183     Mar 21, 2007
  4. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    1. Stop moved to 133.44
     
    #184     Mar 21, 2007
  5. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    1. I dont like this trade is not working ... but
    2. M2 oversold and 133.47 M10 36 SMA support ... if price lower than 133.45 I was wrong....


    Status: Still on the trade ... I
     
    #185     Mar 21, 2007
  6. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures) Updated

    17:36 GMT +1

    End Trade 1 Overview

    1. Entry 17:00 AM (133.51).
    Price below 36 SMA? (yes) Long (yes)
    M2 Confirmation ? (yes)
    Daily pivot hit? (yes).

    2. Exit 17:36 AM (133.44)
    Reason: Stop Hit
    7 pips loss

    Comments:
    1. argghhh !!!!

    jjrvat
     
    #186     Mar 21, 2007
  7. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    1. If a waited for the news....40 pips in 2 min but I dont trade the news

    jjrvat
     
    #187     Mar 21, 2007
  8. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 US Session: (Live Futures)
    20:00 Gmt + 1

    Closing Day summary

    2 trades

    Rating: Below Average
    Trades: 2
    Winners: 1 (3 pips)
    Lossers: 1(7 pips)

    Direction Forecast for long or shorts: 8/10

    9:30 – 13:30 Shorts. OK
    13:30 - 17:00? Step aside. OK
    17:00 - 20:00 Longs. Ok

    Entries: 2/10.
    First Trade a few pips and minutes away from the right entry. Bad timing.

    Second Trade: very bad. If I waited for the pivot point confirmation, it would have been a winner...

    Exits: 3/10
    First trade: Bad entry usually leads to a bad exit. Could have taken 6 pips.
    Second Trade: Horrible. I was stubborn.
    Waited for too long
    Moved stop with no real reason
    Didnt believe in M2 5WMA 8WMA cross back as an early signal to get out.

    Final Comments:
    1. Typical lossing day after so many days afraid of pulling the trigger.
    2. At least I´m Back trading. Hope tomorrow is a better day.

    jjrvat
     
    #188     Mar 21, 2007
  9. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures)

    9: 46 GMT +1

    Trade 1

    1. 9: 46 (134.11). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) short (yes)

    2. M2 RSI overbought? (no)
    Daily pivot hit?: (No)

    Status: Looking for confirmations to go short

    jjrvat
     
    #189     Mar 22, 2007
  10. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 22 2007 European Session: (Live Futures)

    11: 00 GMT +1

    Comments:

    1. Macd M10 divergence but ...
    2. News EUR Trade Balance -7.8B and EUR Industrial New Orders m/m -0.2% against euro...


    Status: Waiting for confimrations

    jjrvat
     
    #190     Mar 22, 2007