Chronicle of a Death Foretold ?

Discussion in 'Journals' started by jjrvat, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 14 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    11: 02 GMT +1

    Trade 1 Missed again at 131.97

    Status: step aside

    jjrvat
     
    #171     Mar 14, 2007
  2. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 14 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    15: 00 GMT +1 (131.96)

    Comments:

    1. It looks like a top ...
    2. I think this this is the last test to the upside ... after that all shorts

    Status: step aside. waitng for directions ... trendless market

    jjrvat
     
    #172     Mar 14, 2007
  3. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 14 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    19: 20 GMT +1

    Closing Day (0 trades) and Week 2

    1. I have been paper trading the last 3 days with good results ... but everytime I tried live I couldn't pull the trigger ... I´m paralyze!!!

    2. I made some tweaks to my entries (I´ll post them next week) that seems to be working .... However, I think the problem is more psychological than technical:

    a. Before starting this journal I paid less attention to the analyzes of the market direction and more to the entries and exists.
    b. Now with real money, I think I´m overanalyzing the direction ... I´m right in the long term but I forgot that I´m trading in the short term... It´s difficult to go short in M2 when I´m convinced that the market is going up in M60.
    c. This is good only if I change my system to a more long term approach which is not the case for now ...
    d. I´m too scare to lose money in the market again (I lost 5k, which is a lot for my small account, in 2 months when I made the move from stocks to Forex and after to futures). I haven't fully recover my confidence after that... I´m still working on this.

    3. I´m taking a break until next monday.

    jjrvat
     
    #173     Mar 14, 2007
  4. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 20 2007 European Session: (Live Currency Futures)

    10: 35 GMT +1

    Comments:

    1. Back from holidays ....
    2. No news until 1:30pm USD Housing Starts and Building Permits.

    Status: waiting for setup to go short (6JM7 or 6EM7)

    jjrvat
     
    #174     Mar 20, 2007
  5. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures)

    11: 00 GMT +1

    Trade 1

    1. 11: 00 (133.49). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) short (yes)

    2. M2 RSI overbought? (no)
    Daily pivot hit?: (yes)

    Status: Short at 133.49

    jjrvat
     
    #175     Mar 21, 2007
  6. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures)

    11: 09 GMT +1

    Trade 1

    1. 11: 10 (133.51). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) short (yes)

    2. Stop moved 133.54

    Status: Short at 133.49. Waiting for Exit

    jjrvat
     
    #176     Mar 21, 2007
  7. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    1. Profit target move to 133.46
    2. Stop moved to 133.52
     
    #177     Mar 21, 2007
  8. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures) Updated

    11:20 GMT +1

    End Trade 1 Overview

    1. Entry 11:00 AM (133.49).
    Price below 36 SMA? (yes) Short (yes)
    M2 Confirmation ? (yes)
    Daily pivot hit? (yes).

    2. Exit 11:15 AM (133.46)
    Reason: Hit Profit Target
    3 pips profit

    Comments:
    1. Maybe my exit was too soon? ... I got scared with no reason ... 11:18 Price 133.43

    jjrvat
     
    #178     Mar 21, 2007
  9. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 European Session: (Live Futures) Updated

    11:45 GMT +1 (133.54)

    Comments:

    1. Maybe my exit was too soon? ... No!!! Price broke pivot point and is moving towards M10 36 SMA and pivot (133.57/133.60) which is my next entry point if hit in the next 45 min.

    Status: Waiting for confirmation to go short

    jjrvat
     
    #179     Mar 21, 2007
  10. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 21 2007 US Session: (Live Futures)

    15: 24 GMT +1

    Trade 2

    1. 15: 24 (133.50). Price below 36 SMA? (No) short (no)

    2. M2 RSI overbought? (yes)
    M2 Confirmations (Yes)
    Daily pivot hit?: (yes)

    Status: It looks like a perfect sell entry ... but price slighlty broke the 36 SMA in M10.... waitng to pull the trigger

    jjrvat
     
    #180     Mar 21, 2007