Chronicle of a Death Foretold ?

Discussion in 'Journals' started by jjrvat, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    19:07 GMT +1

    End Trade 3 Overview

    1. Entry 18:41 GMT+1 (131.61). Price above 36 SMA? (yes) Short** macd DIVERGENCE (Yes)
    M2 BB hit? (yes)
    M2 RSI overBOUGHT? (yes)
    Daily pivot hit? (yes)

    2. Exit 18:56 (131.53) Reasaon: Hit 8 pips target

    3. Random Comments
    If I used the WMA exit I will still on the trade 132.47 (14 pips) .... dont get greedy !!! .... Happy ending of the day...

    jjrvat
     
    #91     Mar 7, 2007
  2. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)
    19:13 Gmt + 1

    Trading day 3 summary

    Daily evaluation: good day. 3 trades and 1 missed.

    Rating: Good
    Trades: 3
    Winners 2 (16 pips)
    losers 1 (1 pip)
    Missed trades: 1
    Profit: 15 pips

    Direction Forecast for long or shorts: 7/10

    9:30 – 10:30 Shorts. OK
    10:40 - 14:15 Shorts. Wrong, that was the reason for the lost trade
    14:30 - 18:00 Longs. OK
    18:30 - ... MACD divergence short. ok

    Entries: 7/10. The 3 entries were good but missed 2 opportunities to get in the first afternoon (Europe time) trade.


    Exit: 9/10. Both winners exits were good but the looser exit was almost perfect only lost 1 pip after moving the stop 2 times.
     
    #92     Mar 7, 2007
  3. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 7 2007 US Session.

    20:00 Gmt +1

    Final comments of the day.

    1. Tomorrow is a big day for the Euro. The ECB is expected to announce an increase of the interest rate.

    2. After seeing the last hour (price is reaching 131.75) I wonder if the big players are positioning for a massive sell of ...but i dont want to be bias....

    3. It´s going to be a very difficult day tomorrow ... we´ll see

    jjrvat
     
    #93     Mar 7, 2007
  4. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    9:18 GMT +1

    Trade 1

    1. 9:20 AM (131.69). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) Short (yes)

    2. 8:45am EUR French Central Government Balance (-5.5B)
    Next: 12:00pm EUR German Industrial Production m/m

    3. M2 BB hit? (no)
    M2 RSI overbought? (no)
    Daily pivot hit? (no).

    Status: Waiting for confirmations to short

    jjrvat
     
    #94     Mar 8, 2007
  5. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    9:25 GMT +1

    Trade 1
    Random comments

    131.75 looks like a nice entry (daily pivot) but i'm going to wait for confirmations

    jjrvat
     
    #95     Mar 8, 2007
  6. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    ....Missed ... 9:30AM 131.68....
     
    #96     Mar 8, 2007
  7. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    9:35 GMT +1

    Random Comments

    1. Missed Trade 1 ... 15 (pips) and going down ....

    Status: waiting for setup to go short
     
    #97     Mar 8, 2007
  8. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    9:50 GMT +1 (Price 131.57)


    Daily Pivot points comments:

    1. Price hit S1 at 131.52 and sttopped the fall (20 points in 15 mins)

    2. Next resistances for possible entries: 131.63 and the major 131.73 ....

    jjrvat
     
    #98     Mar 8, 2007
  9. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    10:00 GMT +1

    Bollinger Band dilemma:

    1. I think i need to adapt my system for this morning trading ... the distance from the price to the M2 BB is more than 23 points ... I will never go short if a wait for all confirmations.

    2. Thats the problem i usually have when there is a fast moving trend I didn't catch it from the beginnig....

    3. The problem of not using the BB as a confirmation is that I only depend on pivot points for resistance and support levels which sometimes affect my entry points because of whipsaws that hit my 6 pips stop loss ....

    jjrvat
     
    #99     Mar 8, 2007
  10. jjrvat

    jjrvat

    Today March 8 2007 European Session: (Live EUR/US Futures)

    10:18 GMT +1

    Trade 1

    1. 10:18 AM (131.58). Price below 36 SMA? (yes) Short (yes)

    2. Next: 12:00pm EUR German Industrial Production m/m

    3. M2 BB hit? (no*)
    M2 RSI overbought? (no)
    Daily pivot hit? (131.63) (no).

    Status: Waiting for confirmations to short

    jjrvat
     
    #100     Mar 8, 2007