Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

Discussion in 'Forex' started by chinook, Aug 16, 2004.

  1. Are you guys trading by the days, hours, minutes, or all?
     
    #3001     Dec 8, 2004
  2. Mostly seconds and minutes on my scalps, then hours on slower times .. day only if I go on some perceived very good position entry.
     
    #3002     Dec 8, 2004
  3. My average trade lasts about an hour.
     
    #3003     Dec 8, 2004
  4. When a move that started off very good only gave +7 and could have given +30 ... that's when the urge to go blasting in reversing again gets flowing through the veins like some trading drug. That's a good sign to take a little break from the screen again, getting tired at watching a lot.
     
    #3004     Dec 8, 2004
  5. Tell me about it! I did that earlier today--several times! I was long at 1.3210 (March) and took profits at 42. Then revenge trading began!

    I suggest that you go and wash your face with very cold water :)

    Edit: I made a "proper" short at 78(March) and I will follow my screen/system. Now this time, my demons are telling me that all the good moves are finished today and to take my 9 ticks profits!

    I tell you, sometimes I think a monkey can trade better than me by just typing randomly at the keyboard :) I'm my biggest enemy :)

    Joking ahead, definetely I can make more money ( lose less), if I traded randomly by flipping a coin and entering short/long with 10 ticks stop and 20 ticks target.



     
    #3005     Dec 8, 2004
  6. I think a reverse is here at mid-low 60s .. I got in for a measly 3 ticks .. it then went a little higher still - of course. I think 60s is a low because of USDJPY correlation.

    That is in the short-short term of things of course. I couldn't stay away for long - especially when it added insult to injury and went almost 40 ticks on the last move where I picked the top perfectly.

    That is the contrarian in me talking, so it doesn't make for any good positions most of the time.
     
    #3006     Dec 8, 2004
  7. I'll trail my short, it's at b/e now. Yes it might bounce from here but if it doesn't we might see another free fall...

    Edit: This is why I want to go mechanical. I don't want to make these top/bottom decisions and then start revenge trading with high leverage.

     
    #3007     Dec 8, 2004
  8. That is how the trading bug races through the pants ... uneasy trading and uneasy losses; wretched uncertainties.

    Indiscriminate trading on back of previous results is bad, I cut the last trade very quickly because I got an incomplete fill - that made me annoyed and I just got out at "first chance".
    :)

    Still +10 on 2 trades is better than a negative. I have been very careful today - and let the big moves play out - and actually waited some reaction to oil inventories, silly me ... it had all been played out before hand. Not the main reason for today's move - just mingled in there.
     
    #3008     Dec 8, 2004
  9. This is the problem with discretionary trading. There is no 100% perfection. There'll be always emotions boiling. Some days when I make great $$$, I'm usually down mentally because I only made 50% off what I could! It usually creeps up on me that evening and effects next day's trading. Terrible mind games....
     
    #3009     Dec 8, 2004
  10. Yes, I'm pretty convinced that the EURUSD will go up some from 60s here ... but that's pretty simplistic - based on JPYUSD charts and EURUSD charts.

    It does seem like a little range - and some caution, exhaustion after big moves and european close.

    edit: 60s mentioned here are on 6EH5 - the march contract which is spot EURUSD +10 pips.

    edit2: seems like I have a good hunch-sensor today, but am too tired to exploit it. My stomach now needs a refill - as hunger is the thing bothering it. Better throw in some tacos and a lot of jalapeños to hurt it some more.
    :D
    That will at least give me a little mind-rest.
     
    #3010     Dec 8, 2004