Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

Discussion in 'Forex' started by chinook, Aug 16, 2004.

  1. ......get rid of it..or add to it....... at these higher rates...that why I'm shorting the Euro....the cost of carry on the AUD...interest spread is not favorable....by going short Euro long USD.....I can still enter the AUD if your outcome eventuates...while being able to allocate USD funds to gold at ..say 420/415-400 who knows some are even projecting lower...doubt it....watch the 10yr Tbill.....as stated, ''it's the delusions that give us the most problems''...Request comment..
     
    #2701     Nov 30, 2004
  2. Nah, it's not costly because it's such a small short. It's personal at this point :)

    We now join our regularly scheduled program - Attack of the Euro, part deux.
     
    #2702     Nov 30, 2004
  3. ......thanks for the help....now we off to the races.....Arr running with the bulls....careful were you step....
     
    #2703     Nov 30, 2004
  4. Are there any brave souls out there planning to hold a position during the GDP release? I've been in and out lately both short and long and I'll be flat during the release.
     
    #2704     Nov 30, 2004
  5. I will be flat into the release - but I have been flat for most of the latest sessions, with only a few trades. Murky waters don't welcome brave swimmers, and the sharks flashing their fins in the book don't increase confidence of safe market conditions.

    Will have to see volume action along with price to see if it's worth the risk to enter the market. If it's dominated by big fish toying with the small ones ... got to be very careful.

    Nice pre-numbers run-up on EURUSD, traders probably got a little jolt there, and shows how thin markets are easily jumped to stoploss. Therefore I will be fairly sceptical to any moves or whipsaws.

    USDJPY may be a safer alternative. Also the 6EH5 march 05 contract is funny with 4-5 ticks spread many times. Hope it improves soon, though - but the MM can milk it for what it's worth for now.
     
    #2705     Nov 30, 2004
  6. I wonder if these stop-loss pop and flop operations are by products of natural trading or brainchild of some big players. This is a big market but still if one feeds it bit by bit eventually they might get the snowball moving.
     
    #2706     Nov 30, 2004
  7. I'm long UDS/CHF at 1.135.

    I'll hold through data, but watching mighty close :) GDP is past data anyway, so whatever upside comes to the USD, will be brief. But I'll cash out quick.
     
    #2707     Nov 30, 2004
  8. Ivanovich good luck.

    The futures book gets quite chaotic during these releases. It's usually extremely thin but a while ago I remember seeing 10,000+ contracts on one side of the book! Plus we have this new trading patterns emerging so I think there might be special tricks developed for playing these releases.
     
    #2708     Nov 30, 2004
  9. Thanks. I have a feeling of dread here - but we'll see. Russians are both foolish and lucky.
     
    #2709     Nov 30, 2004
  10. Spiked to 1.1372 and I took my 22 pips.
     
    #2710     Nov 30, 2004