https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp...zation-chinas-gradual-move-away-from-the-usd/ Visual Capitalist The Start of De-Dollarization: China’s Gradual Move Away from the USD PublishedM ay 22, 2024 ByJulia Wendling The Start of De-Dollarization: China’s Move Away from the USD Since 2010, the majority of China’s cross-border payments, like those of many countries, have been settled in U.S. dollars (USD). As of the first quarter of 2023, that’s no longer the case. This graphic from the Hinrich Foundation, the second in a three-part series covering the future of trade, provides visual context to the growing use of the Chinese renminbi (RMB) in payments both domestically and globally. The De-Dollarization of China’s Cross-Border Transactions This analysis uses Bloomberg data on the share of China’s payments and receipts in RMB, USD, and other currencies from 2010 to 2024. In the first few months of 2010, settlements in local currency accounted for less than 1.0% of China’s cross-border payments, compared to approximately 83.0% in USD. China has since closed that gap. In March 2023, the share of the RMB in China’s settlements surpassed the USD for the first time. Date Renminbi U.S. Dollar Other March 2010 0.3% 84.3% 15.4% March 2011 4.8% 81.3% 13.9% March 2012 11.5% 77.1% 11.5% March 2013 18.1% 72.7% 9.2% March 2014 26.6% 64.8% 8.6% March 2015 29.0% 61.9% 9.0% March 2016 23.6% 66.7% 9.7% March 2017 17.6% 72.5% 9.9% March 2018 23.2% 67.4% 9.4% March 2019 26.2% 65.1% 8.7% March 2020 39.3% 54.4% 6.3% March 2021 41.7% 52.6% 5.6% March 2022 42.1% 53.3% 4.7% March 2023 48.4% 46.7% 4.9% March 2024 52.9% 42.8% 4.3% Source: Bloomberg (2024) Since then, the de-dollarization in Chinese international settlements has continued. As of March 2024, over half (52.9%) of Chinese payments were settled in RMB while 42.8% were settled in USD. This is double the share from five years previous. According to Goldman Sachs, foreigners’ increased willingness to trade assets denominated in RMB significantly contributed to de-dollarization in favor of China’s currency. Also, early last year, Brazil and Argentina announced that they would begin allowing trade settlements in RMB. Most Popular Currencies in Foreign Exchange (FX) Transactions Globally, analysis from the Bank for International Settlements reveals that, in 2022, the USD remained the most-used currency for FX settlements. The euro and the Japanese yen came in second and third, respectively. Currency 2013 2022 Change (pp) U.S. Dollar 87.0% 88.5% +1.5 Euro 33.4% 30.5% -2.9 Yen 23.0% 16.7% -6.3 Pound Sterling 11.8% 12.9% +1.1 Renminbi 2.2% 7.0% +4.8 Other 42.6% 44.4% +1.8 Total 200.0% 200.0% Source: BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey (2022). Because two currencies are involved in each transaction, the sum of the percentage shares of individual currencies totals 200% instead of 100%. The Chinese renminbi, though accounting for a relatively small share of FX transactions, gained the most ground over the last decade. Meanwhile, the euro and the yen saw decreases in use. The Future of De-Dollarization If the RMB’s global rise continues, the stranglehold of the USD on international trade could diminish over time. The impacts of declining dollar dominance are complex and uncertain, but they could range from the underperformance of U.S. financial assets to diminished power of Western sanctions. However, though the prevalence of RMB in international payments could rise, a complete de-dollarization of the world economy in the near- or medium-term is unlikely. China’s strict capital controls that limit the availability of RMB outside the country, and the nation’s sputtering economic growth, are key reasons contributing to this. The third piece in this series will explore Russia’s shifting trading patterns following its invasion of Ukraine. Copyright © 2024 Visual Capitalist
We've been exporting jobs and inflation for decades. All part of the poorly monitored "Marshall Plan" Now the bill is coming due. I just hoped we don't get nuked.
That's how I feel as well. Seriously. I'm in my 60s and I've never seen such mess as what is going on now.
China buying Russian energy products priced, of course, in Rubles is a big chunk of it. But so what. China is no longer our biggest trading partner. Things change over time. Nuked lol.
There is probably, close to 99% chance of a direct war with Russia by NATO. NATO troops will get slaughtered in the battlefield and come back in body bags. NATO warmongers only want their monies. They do not care how many people get killed in the process.
%% Hope not also; good thing for US$, Euro, Yen / fundamentals win in the end. >>russian ruble+ chicom currency. NOT a big gold fan , but i have a metals business also . But like one gold + silver metals dealer said , using only US$ is like going to WMT or[ DG,DLTR]; + buying coffee , then taking the label + leaving the coffe with the cashier LOL-true......
still is, china has been a top manufacturing goods exporter for years, we just buy via brokers these days, i.e. mexico.
Probably China is paying Russia in Renminbi, don't you think? China should be in the drivers seat here.
That would be my prior too. All of the bilateral Russia-China trade is CNY denominated, that would include Russian energy and Chinese stuff that’s covering Russian war needs etc