Charlie Munger on Cryptocurrencies

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by Frederick Foresight, Dec 5, 2023.

  1. Okay. And you can read the article I posted.

    An excerpt:

    Storing value, hedging against inflation
    If Bitcoin’s isn’t used for payments, what use does it have?

    The major attraction – one endorsed by mainstream financial publications – is as a store of value, particularly in times of inflation, because Bitcoin has a hard cap on the number of coins that will ever be “mined”.

    As Forbes writers argued a few weeks ago:

    In terms of quantity, there are only 21 million Bitcoins released as specified by the ASCII computer file. Therefore, because of an increase in demand, the value will rise which might keep up with the market and prevent inflation in the long run.

    The only problem with this argument is recent history. Over the course of 2022 the purchasing power of major currencies (US, the euro and the pound) dropped by about 7-10%. The purchasing power of a Bitcoin dropped by about 65%.

    Speculation or gambling?
    Bitcoin’s price has always been volatile, and always will be. If its price were to stabilise somehow, those holding it as a speculative punt would soon sell it, which would drive down the price.

    But most people buying Bitcoin essentially as a speculative token, hoping its price will go up, are likely to be disappointed. A BIS study has found the majority of Bitcoin buyers globally between August 2015 and December 2022 have made losses.

    The “market value” of all cryptocurrencies peaked at US$3 trillion in November 2021. It is now about US$1 trillion.

    Bitcoins’s highest price in 2021 was about US$60,000; in 2022 US$40,000 and so far in 2023 only US$30,000. Google searches show that public interest in Bitcoin also peaked in 2021. In the US, the proportion of adults with internet access holding cryptocurrencies fell from 11% in 2021 to 8% in 2022.
     
    #31     Dec 5, 2023
  2. S2007S

    S2007S

    Short more bitcoin!!!!


    The magical coin is in another bubble!!!
     
    #32     Dec 5, 2023
    mikeriley likes this.
  3. Munger also hated precious metal investing and said high frequency traders should be put to work doing something useful like selling apples on the street.

    If everyone allocated capital like Munger and Buffet it would probably look like we are still living in 1990.

    Bitcoin is obviously not in a bubble when it still wouldn't take out the all time high with a 50% gain from here.
     
    #33     Dec 5, 2023
    semperfrosty likes this.
  4. Maybe my maths is off but I make it 32% to ATH from here?
     
    #34     Dec 5, 2023
  5. deaddog

    deaddog

    44K plus 50% (22K) = 66K
     
    #35     Dec 5, 2023
    semperfrosty likes this.

  6. Of course.Yes.Sorry.

    Not sure what Ive done there.

    AUD its 66,886 with a high of 88 ish.

    Percentage wise it should still be the same.

    Must be losing it.haha

    I should work off one or the other.I'm assuming the discrepancy would be related to the USD/AUD exchange rate.



    upload_2023-12-6_11-35-57.png
     
    Last edited: Dec 5, 2023
    #36     Dec 5, 2023
  7. deaddog

    deaddog

    It's down around 32% from tha ATH.(rough and dirty)
    It has to gain 50% ish to recover.
     
    #37     Dec 5, 2023
  8. Copy.Thanks.:thumbsup:
     
    #38     Dec 5, 2023
  9. long

    long

    You can call them idiots for criticizing BTC but it turns out they are just sandbagging. BRK is exposed to it in a substantial way. It’s like when they denied make a move on the silver market.
     
    #39     Dec 5, 2023
    semperfrosty likes this.
  10. deaddog

    deaddog

    How so?
     
    #40     Dec 5, 2023