Catching Tails

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Wide Tailz, Mar 25, 2012.

  1. Bry

    Bry

    Thanks, Tailz, I really appreciate your effort.

    I am thinking myself that if SLV can burn thru $34, it has a good chance by measured move to hit $38--that's close to your EW projected top. That is some serious moola if using some leverage ( cheap, Dec. calls, for instance).

    (But Dec might not be enough time...can always roll over to Jan later...)
     
    #211     Nov 25, 2012
  2. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Options.... great fun if you can get a tight bid / ask and avoid the last couple days of time decay. The event horizon for me always seemed to be around Wed. of exp week, in a past life, when I still traded the thingz.

    But talk about leverage.... out of money two week to expiration, if you guess right it can be nearly 10x r/r

    :D
     
    #212     Nov 26, 2012
  3. Bry

    Bry

    No kidding. Most traders would think it is insane but if the timing and directional bias are correct, and a cheap, slightly OTM gets ITM, time decay no longer matters much if it is ITM.
    A couple weeks ago I made about +80% on a small position of weekly FB calls--if I had held them to the end of the week: +900%.
     
    #213     Nov 26, 2012
  4. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Mild update on IMH:

    I closed it out for a couple hundred bux profit yesterday, and wouldn't you know - today it would have been worth 800+

    :eek:

    Riding a tail is harder than it looks. I always sell to get out of the "hot seat" so I don't have to sit and watch it all day. I think it's finally time to work on automating the exits.

    Now I'm waiting to see what it does next.

    [​IMG]
     
    #214     Nov 27, 2012
  5. Bry

    Bry

    Tailz,
    have you tried to figure out a way to short the mkt with EW? i notice it looks like you always go long
    they say, "it falls 3X faster than it climbs"
    (ca-ching, ca-ching!)
    Bry
     
    #215     Nov 27, 2012
  6. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Long, intermediate & short term trends have been up, hence longs mostly.

    When the time comes (as it did briefly, last week) I use FAZ or SPXS.
     
    #216     Nov 28, 2012
  7. Bry

    Bry

    Oh, okay.
     
    #217     Nov 28, 2012
  8. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    PWER giving the look

    [​IMG]
     
    #218     Nov 29, 2012
  9. Bry

    Bry

    I have watch PWER off and on for maybe 6 months now. Strong fundamentals.

    AMD could be bottoming now. Any EW thoughts?
     
    #219     Nov 30, 2012
  10. Wide Tailz

    Wide Tailz

    Yes PWER is getting bought by insiders every time it gets near the triple bottom.

    AMD had a good pop, but no wave 3 yet. I did see it on the scanner today and it was moving in gaps on the hourly.... who knows.

    Total profit for the week: $192 booked, $15 open. One trade, one win (bot 500 PWER @ 4.12 today).

    The big lezzon was that when an ABC12/3rd setup launches, it goes for a few days. I keep selling my winners in about 24 hours after buying. I can't stand the chance that my small profits could turn into losses. My ~$350 net profits since going live, 5 weeks ago could have been $1200+ if I had just trusted the third wave and waited until seeing a double top and / or moving average crossover to lock them in.

    The more often I see these tails keep going without me, the more likely I am to stop selling so early.
     
    #220     Nov 30, 2012