Candlestick probability

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Amatrue, Jan 8, 2020.

  1. But it goes up and down. So...? Must not be efficient.
     
    #41     Jan 15, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    Sure, but whether you can explain those price moves w.r.t. to price data is an entirely different matter. If you can't, they're effectively random until you find some other data that can be used to explain the moves.
     
    #42     Jan 15, 2020
  3. Do you need to explain it? Why? What if they behave in predictable statistical patterns? Who cares why?
     
    #43     Jan 15, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  4. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    Something is off with my semantics then. If price behaves in a predictable statistical pattern that's the same as saying recent price explains price movement. FYI I have no problem with that in special cases such as clean strong trends. My qualm is more about people thinking they will find lots of trades on an intraday basis purely from observing certain sequences of candles (themselves a fairly inferior distillation of higher resolution price data) in a single instrument. Context is everything.
     
    #44     Jan 15, 2020
  5. Lots of clean strong trends recently ;-)
     
    #45     Jan 15, 2020
    murray t turtle likes this.
  6. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    For sure, too bad we didn't get a war... =/
     
    #46     Jan 15, 2020
  7. Dude...
     
    #47     Jan 15, 2020
  8. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    Can't refrain from tasteless jokes, sorry.
     
    #48     Jan 15, 2020
    nooby_mcnoob likes this.
  9. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    Omg if you try really hard you can find examples of something 50\50 working, who'd of thought that.
     
    #49     Jan 15, 2020
  10. easymon1

    easymon1

    mr turveyd,
    that's just the set-up, but not whether it worked or not.
     
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2020
    #50     Jan 15, 2020