If the stock market takes off higher oil will move higher too. If we have a severe recession oil will fall hard, take your pick.. The price action verifies this.
Well aren't we just all full of good news.... The business cycles track the sunspot cycles so what you do is take up amateur radio as a hobby, when the recession/depression FINALLY comes on the scene the sunspot cycle will be starting up and you can talk around the world with battery power and a big ugly antenna that pisses off your neighbors and collect a zillion QSL cards.... we had the first magnetically reversed sunspot last December but not much since but it will pick up the pace, I've been hamming it up for decades, it never fails.............