When you are on the right side each time on those "25% movement" that is otherwise it's very painful.
Yes, anything can happen. Going to need to need a bunch of positive catalysts though (Brexit resolution, US/China resolution, Russia-gate resolution, improvement in EU macro, etc)
%% More likely XLF, or QQQ [Mostly Tek, or US banks] would do 20% up or 20% down.Since they don't not have many or any DB or TSLA in it LOL. Russian default could help the bears, in weak sectors like the DOW. NOT a prediction