can someone give me the holy grail

Discussion in 'Professional Trading' started by vk60546, Nov 22, 2010.

  1. I would say the portfolio of systems described in acrarys threads are pretty close to the holy grail in trading, considering he said they run in very liquid markets.
     
    #71     May 20, 2011
  2. 50% - costs.

    Why is it assumed that cutting your losses and letting winners run works?

    Do you think this works for casino games too?

    Really?
     
    #72     May 21, 2011
  3. deaddog

    deaddog

    It’s kind of simple. If you have an equal number of winners and losers. You make more with the winners than you lose with the losers. Shouldn’t you make be making more money than you lose.

    It does for the casino. They don’t win all the time but they play enough games that over the long haul they win.

    As for the players, poker and blackjack can both be profitable if you know what you are doing. You don’t win all the time and can suffer severe drawdowns but you can exploit an edge if you have the discipline and the bankroll.
     
    #73     May 23, 2011
  4. tradertom

    tradertom

    Cut your losses, let your profits run :)
     
    #74     Oct 24, 2011
  5. #75     Oct 24, 2011
  6. Here is the holy grail :) If the instrument you are trading does not move as you expect it, get out immediate. It is better to exit early and reenter once proven right then to hold on and pray. This was the best tip I got from reading the Phantom of the Pits
    by Art Simpson.
     
    #76     Oct 24, 2011
  7. You might find that the sum of the large number of small losers overwhelms the sum small of the small number of large winners.

    Pretty much any backtest of a moving average based strategy will show this same result.
     
    #77     Oct 24, 2011
  8. If that happens, then you may not have an edge. It is much easier to overcome a small loss than a large loss. My experience has taught me to take many small profits (hit singles) instead of trying to hit a home run. Taking what the market gives me instead of what I think I can get was the turning point in my trading.

    Trading is very personal, so there are no right or wrong answers.
     
    #78     Oct 24, 2011

  9. Honestly, you can forget what everyone has said on this thread. The holy grail is TIME AND REPETITION.
     
    #79     Oct 25, 2011
  10. don't you mean PRICE & repetition?

     
    #80     Oct 25, 2011