http://keynoteindexfund.com/ Interesting analysis. Personally... I think it's going to be a volatile day but outside pressures will keep it from soaring.
I bought AAPL Calls earlier today (me and millions of others). Yeah, it sounds too easy, and probably is, but I had to give it a shot.
My strategy: Follow Jobs' keynote address live: http://www.macrumorslive.com/ Then scalp AAPL when Jobs farts. I wouldn't try any position trading in this climate.
check out the latest of macworld http://www.engadget.com/2008/01/15/live-from-macworld-2008-steve-jobs-keynote/