California foreclosures hit 4-year high By JENNIFER HUFFMAN Register Business Writer Wednesday, October 25, 2006 7:22 AM PDT Residential foreclosure activity in California reached its highest level in more than four years in the third quarter, reported real estate data company DataQuick Information Systems, but Napa lenders report more encouraging news. Lending institutions sent 26,705 default notices to homeowners in the state during the three-month period ending in September, DataQuick announced, which was the highest number since 2002. That was up 28.3 percent from 20,812 for the prior quarter, and up 111.8 percent from 12,606 for 2005âs third quarter, according to the announcement. âWeâre not getting a lot of calls from existing WaMu loan holders about foreclosures,â said Michael Madsen, a senior loan consultant at the Madsen-Shaw Home Loans Group at the Washington Mutual home loan center in Napa. âI think the foreclosures that will happen will be those people who took out 100 percent financing loans over the last two years,â said Madsen. âThey bought with no money down and then today the houses are worth the same or less than when they purchased, and so thereâs no room to refinance into a more favorable loan product. When the payment adjusts upwards thereâs nowhere for them to go. The equity isnât there. Thatâs where you are going to see the squeeze.â Local real estate seems to be holding, said Madsen. âThe market is not tanking in Napa County.â Mortgage consultant Bernie Peacock works for Investors Trust Mortgage Corporation on Jefferson Street. âWe are seeing an increase in notice of defaults, ... once you have received (the notice), you have 90 days to solve your situation,â said Peacock. âWe are seeing a trend of more consumers struggling but not necessarily ending in foreclosure. The market has been strong enough that people tend to sell the house or refinance.â People are still seeking out mortgages, he said. âWe are still seeing reasonably strong demand for mortgages,â but adjustable rate mortgages, are âless popular,â he said. â(Fewer) people are taking out deferred interest loans. Which is probably a positive thing for the industry. When you get a rising mortgage balance but a declining home value, thatâs when people potentially get into trouble. âRight now, a lot people are trying to get a fixed rate. Or at least a five-year fixed rate.â Itâs hard to generalize recommendations, for buyers, said Peacock. âI try and consult people and look at their entire situation. Some investors are more sophisticated and know how to use an ARM (adjustable rate mortgage) and it may still be a good loan for them. One loan does not fit all. âWeâre seeing a lot of people sitting on the fence, (thinking) that prices will come down. I donât know if thatâs the right decision or not.â Martha Pedroza-Ramos, Loan Consultant with Cal-Bay Mortgage Group in Napa said she is also seeing a small increase in default notices. âA lot of the people that got in recently were speculators, and I believe those are some of the people that are receiving notices of default,â she said. âSome negative amortization loans on 100 percent financing that are not appropriate for all clientele.â New twists on traditional mortgages are emerging. âThese days long-term 10-year interest- only products are very popular,â said Pedroza-Ramos. âThey secure the rate over the 30-year term with no prepayment penalties on the loan, giving the client the option of the interest only payment for the long term.â Talk of foreclosures doesnât seem to be scaring away Cal-Bay customers. âWeâre still very busy,â Pedroza-Ramos said. âIf clients get into good loans, they will have taken a good investment strategy in the long run.â âThereâs certain percentage of foreclosures (usually) expected. Iâm not seeing that percentage a lot higher than normal,â said Kevin OâNeill, branch sales manager, at Countrywide Home Loans. âAre foreclosures up over last year? Yes. Are they up over all time highs? No, theyâre not even close. The marketâs really not that bad,â he said. âPeople that are in foreclosure are generally people that shouldnât have gotten a loan in the first place; they were approved for something they couldnât qualify for. You have to really look at what you can afford. âI donât think we are going to see a high rise in foreclosures (in Napa County). I think most will be sold or worked out. âI believe thereâs been a large overreaction to the marketplace this year and I feel the price of homes will stabilize and not reduce that much.â Statewide, the annual rate of home-price increases hit a high of 22.8 percent during second-quarter 2004. Since then, price appreciation cooled to 3.7 percent last quarter. There are 7.81 million houses and condos in the state, DataQuick reported. âWhile foreclosure properties tugged property values down by almost 10 percent in some areas nine years ago, the effect on todayâs market is negligible.â
You never see these stories mention the % of homeowners in default. If foreclosures go from 1 last year to 2 this year that would be a 50% increase in foreclosures, but does it tell you anything? NO I'm not saying 26k defaults is not news but I wonder what percentage of homeowners that is. If there are 2.6M homeowners your only talking about 1% I would imagine there are many more homeowners in Ca than that.
Get ready to watch that number EXPLODE higher... my two cents There are hundreds of homes on the verge of default where I live.
You got me. :eek: what i was saying is that the numbers of foreclosures are going to have to increase in percentage terms to really effect the market. hundreds are of little consequence when we're talking about millions of homeowners.
just my opinion.. this was all done by design. and yes, the number is def. gonna explode! and the people behind it know perfectly well what there doing... they'll be a new defintion to the phrase: "the ends will justify the means" and i'm talking in a couple a years when most of society will be on the balls of there ass and the people in charge will sit back and rejoice in there efforts to control "the world". now mind you.. this is only one part to a more sinister plan thats been ineffect for some time now...but when u factor this in with all the other historic events that are going on...the way there's a profound increase in every catagory.. ex. people dying from diseases, soldiers dying, drug/alcohol one has to think to himself, and ask... when are we ever going to fuckin wake up and smell the fuckin coffee!!
I won't hit on the conspiracy theory, but, you think the new bankruptcy laws were passed to benefit all those over their heads in debt new home owners... Come on now!