Hi, Iâm wondering if anyone can help me. I want to be able to estimate the odds of various price events happening. Specifically, Iâm interested in longshot events. For example, if a particular price pattern forms on a chart, Iâd like to be able to estimate that price has a 10 to 1 chance of rising to a specific level in a specific amount of time. The same idea if price moves in a certain way at support/resistance or passes through a given moving average. It doesn't matter what the preceding event is. I realize that many factors come into play. The odds could differ depending on time of day. And they could change over time as market conditions change. But Iâm not concerned about that just now. Iâm simply looking for a basic approach that I can use for estimating the likelihood of prices moves occurring. Thanks in advance for any help you can provide.