C2 strategies comments

Discussion in 'Automated Trading' started by bbpp, Jan 31, 2017.

  1. omer486

    omer486

    I was also subscribed to VIX Day Trader. I think one of the problems is that he trades almost everyday. It would be better to just trade on the days where the direction is more certain. Also his system is not 100% algorithmic. Usually the algorithmic systems seem to do better in XIV / VXX trading.

    The ironic thing is, this is the developer who pushed for autotrade scaling limits as he had too many big subscribers and he was continually increasing his subscription prices from around $65 to the present $189. And now many of the subscribers have left.
     
    #31     Apr 21, 2017
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Why was it surprising? If demand is there, it is just obvious to raise prices.
     
    #32     Apr 21, 2017
  3. omer486

    omer486

    Yes, it makes sense to increase prices if there is more demand. At the same time people are more likely to quit a system during a long drawdown period if the fees are higher. So if you want long term subscribers it's better to keep a balanced approach in terms of fees. Also now with the autotrade scaling restrictions in place that this developer pushed for it doesn't make sense for big investors to subscribe as his model account is quite small. And for investor's with a small account the fees are too high!

    But this is just a side issue. More relevant is how a system that was performing really well for over year, with a large number of trades through varied market conditions suddenly stopped performing.
     
    Last edited: Apr 21, 2017
    #33     Apr 21, 2017
    lovethetrade and userque like this.
  4. Great thread bbpp.

    I'm wondering if you have any knowledge on a strategy known as "HFT VIX Scalper" that was the #1 strategy on c2 until it disappeared earlier this year. It had a Sharpe of over 10.

    Here is a screenshot:

    [​IMG]

    It was a futures strategy so I guess that is out of your area, but I thought I'd ask just in case you knew something about it or why it suddenly vanished.
     
    #34     Apr 28, 2017
  5. bbpp

    bbpp

    If I remember correctly, this strategy cheated and made false performance.
     
    #35     Apr 28, 2017
    lovethetrade and shatteredx like this.
  6. bbpp

    bbpp

    Simplicity Trading:
    https://collective2.com/details/107448037

    At first glance,its performance is outstandingļ¼Œ good return on low DD.
    But when you check its entries, you will find it is a martingale strategy.
    Martingale strategy is always trading against trend,and adding to losing positions,therefore it is doomed. Just when it is hit with a market trend that is long enough to bring its death.
    The recent example is Alpha and Omega:
    https://collective2.com/details/110267102.
     
    Last edited: May 26, 2017
    #36     May 26, 2017
    RobinsonG and lovethetrade like this.
  7. bbpp

    bbpp

    Futures Cat:
    https://collective2.com/details/110937470

    Good strategy,high return, low DD, follow trend, tight stops.Diversified trading in equities and commodities.
    I have not seen any problem with this strategy,except that it has short time history.
     
    Last edited: May 26, 2017
    #37     May 26, 2017
  8. JITF

    JITF

    How do you think - will it survive longer than 2-3 months?
    His previous strategies lasted couple months only, then he was just stopping trading due to unclear reason.
     
    #38     May 26, 2017
  9. Dont they all?
     
    #39     May 26, 2017
  10. bbpp

    bbpp

    Most C2 good strategies developers had bad strategies before.
    If you did not see their bad strategies, it is because most developers just change their names and trade on new accounts.
    If there are strategies that never had bad ones, the bad ones happened before developers came to C2.Does that make a difference?
    No one born to trade well.

    Did you see any VIX strategies that started before 2016?
    It was not that before 2016 there were no VIX strategies. There were as many as now.
    It was because VIX strategies before 2016 all had big drawdown and smaller return.
    So developers discounted them and trade on new accounts and new names.
    As VIX strategies after 2016 have performed much better , due to changing market situation.
    Do you believe old VIX strategies developers just discounted their old VIX strategies and left C2? If you believe they still stay at C2, then they must be under new names.
    Most C2 current VIX strategies are run by old developers.And so are the other C2 strategies.
    If you are worried about this, you may need to unsubscribe from every C2 strategy.

    As for Futures Cat, you can see its high return came from low leverage.
    High flies that could not survive long time all have common characteristics:
    either they use big leverage, or they use martingale strategy.
    I see Futures Cat used neither of these methods.
    Some strategies could do well during a period of time like a few months, because it fit in certain market situation. When market situation change, their good performances would not last longer.This is especially true for equities.
    But Futures Cat trade in many instruments in equities and commodities.
    So that factor is unlikely to affect it.


     
    Last edited: May 26, 2017
    #40     May 26, 2017
    RobinsonG likes this.