By How Much Is The Market Oversold Right Now?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Jun 12, 2011.

How Would You Characterize This Oversold Market?

  1. Happens every ~2 months

    2 vote(s)
    5.4%
  2. Happens ~3-4 times per year

    8 vote(s)
    21.6%
  3. Happens ~1-2 times per year

    16 vote(s)
    43.2%
  4. Happens once every ~1-2 years

    2 vote(s)
    5.4%
  5. Happens once every ~3-4 years

    9 vote(s)
    24.3%
  1. emg

    emg

    oversold and overbought are ancient technical analysis. They do not work.

    If they do work, why did many traders went short when es began going up from last yr october - april 2011 thinking the market overbought. In fact, more traders went short in jan thinking the market is overbought.

    The fact is, they do not work because more than 90% of small traders lose. They just lose!!!
     
    #11     Jun 13, 2011


  2. You answered it yourself. See the last sentence.

    So the lesson for runts who wear both a belt and suspenders (can't even trust their pants to stay up :) ) is ....

    when the crowd goes one way, you look for the exit .... namely, in this case, the LONG signal on 1H.

    Dig?
     
    #12     Jun 13, 2011
  3. S&P500 weekly chart shows a rising wedge enclosed within a megaphone top.

    Be careful folks, the naughty Black Swans want to party...

    stockmarket618.wordpress.com/2011/06/01/wed-june-1
     
    #13     Jun 13, 2011
  4. VIX spiked to 20 today, the market bounced up. this could be the beginning of a bounce.
     
    #14     Jun 13, 2011
  5. S2007S

    S2007S

    Futures jumped on China inflation numbers, go figure. Now our markets move on inflation numbers out of China, ha. Anyway I am sure the bulls are looking for a 1-2% rally and I think after todays flat closing tomorrow should be a better day, I am thinking once they rally the markets a solid 1%+ you will see a follow through rally lasting days if not weeks. I dont think they will let the SPX fall below 1250.....time for the markets to be propped up before QE2 is finished at the end of June!



    Stocks Close Mixed; Dow Still Below 12,000
    S&P FUT
    1273.30 7.10 +0.56%
    DOW FUT
    11948.00 63.00 +0.53%
    NAS FUT
    2230.25 10.50 +0.47%
     
    #15     Jun 13, 2011
  6. Could be time for a (short covering) DOW/SP500 rally.
     
    #16     Jun 14, 2011
  7. No doubt about it - the bearish euro daily chart is increasingly
    influential over smaller time frames - thus USD strength continues.
     
    #17     Jun 14, 2011

  8. Shortie, place a cushion under your butt when driving, please - you're scaring the shit out of the HERD as they see the driverless car zip by.
     
    #18     Jun 14, 2011
  9. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    And what is the reason ES is up 15 points right now?
     
    #19     Jun 14, 2011
  10. :)

    i like to keep them scared
     
    #20     Jun 14, 2011