BWolinsky Trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by bwolinsky, Jun 21, 2009.

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  1. Topper

    Topper

    Interesting news... His demand is increasing and both lines on his phone are starting to ring simultaneously for quotes and such. The space in his building is diminishing.
     
    #441     Sep 23, 2009
  2. QLD Projection: 56.495011641953 QLD Close: 50.5699996948242
    QLD Projection: 52.7267277110707 QLD Close: 50.5699996948242
    QLD Projection: 53.5927623930432 QLD Close: 50.5699996948242

    Date is 9/24/2009 to go long and linear prediction is 55.8727569126821 with a close of 50.5699996948242 on QLD.

    I think I'll get an awesome entry tomorrow.

    No trades in Cash Cow to report.
     
    #442     Sep 24, 2009
  3. ehorn

    ehorn

    I observe that as extreme paces begin to make their way back into the market that FF's display no anomolies in the sequencing...

    Is this the point you are making here or did I misinterpret the message?

    Thanks for any clarification

    P.S. Apologies for the hijack Beau. I will keep it short.
     
    #443     Sep 24, 2009
  4. I entered QLD at 49.87, and was very pleased to see another entry better than the model price of 49.88 as it shows on c2, whereas the real fill on covestor was 49.87.

    I fully expect some relief next week as the projections for QLD are as follows:
    QLD Projection: 58.1625928522467 QLD Close: 49.689998626709
    QLD Projection: 52.217454736883 QLD Close: 49.689998626709
    QLD Projection: 53.1226668948219 QLD Close: 49.689998626709

    The first seems to be lagging a bit, but either way the projections are about 5% higher from here, indicating we are extremely oversold. The indicator was oversold yesterday, and we closed even lower from there, so we're still oversold with the possibility that even a 2% increase would not bring us back to fair value.

    I have a target of 57.51 and a stop of 46.09, but the stop is more of a fail safe and has only been hit once in all the years I've traded. The target has been hit about 15% of the time, which is great that your most extreme winners happen far more often than extreme losses.
     
    #444     Sep 25, 2009
  5. Apology accepted, but I have no idea what you're talking about, and I doubt there's even 1% of my readers that do, either.
     
    #445     Sep 25, 2009
  6. ehorn

    ehorn

    Price and Volume move in Sequences. The Sequences of Price and Volume.

    Volume creates a sequence as it leads price:

    where volume is represented as B2B2R2B \/\/ and price /\/ for an up move
    and volume is represented as R2R2B2R \/\/ and price \/\ for a down move

    Each fractal is comprised of this sequence. Fractals within Fractals within Fractals create the web of price movement as it migrates from point to point within a trend. Dominant to NON-Dominant and back to Dominant until a sequence has completed and a new sequence begins. When all fractals are complete within a trend, the trend is complete and a new trend begins.
     
    #446     Sep 26, 2009
  7. Topper

    Topper

    Word is, Bently (Autos) is about to request a letterhead job for their American division. Ready for this... 400,000 impressions. I think the economy 'may' be picking up steam.
     
    #447     Sep 28, 2009
  8. Yeah, that is interesting. Spend $400,000, make $400,000. Great. Good for advertising, I will admit, but not the advertiser.
     
    #448     Sep 29, 2009
  9. I'm out of qld at 51.31 to the model's price of 51.35. The buy price was 49.87 versus a model price of 49.88, and this trade is pretty typical of what I make on average. A little bit of slippage of $0.04, or about 0.07% versus the nearly 0.087% positive slippage on the previous trade.

    QLD Projection: 59.1343954484541 QLD Close: 51.3699989318848
    QLD Projection: 51.4705454046076 QLD Close: 51.3699989318848
    QLD Projection: 52.3267619541713 QLD Close: 51.3699989318848

    QLD seems to be coming down, but with a real strong projection higher for the first predicted value.

    Really, slippage does happen, but if you have to worry about nickels of slippage, your system doesn't work. I've not had to really worry about it until the NYSE/ARCA started to handle QID and QLD. I did have more problems with open prices when that Pieceshit called the AMEX handled these securities.
     
    #449     Sep 29, 2009
  10. QLD Projection: 58.9871653797862 QLD Close: 50.939998626709
    QLD Projection: 51.3201813437722 QLD Close: 50.939998626709
    QLD Projection: 52.1372376941499 QLD Close: 50.939998626709

    On the last trade we were extremely oversold, and I knew any price below $50 on QLD was money in the bank. Now, we have a trade tomorrow, and it isn't quite as big of a mispricing as the last, but we're still slightly oversold. I think any entry below $51 would be fantastic.

    Big GDP numbers tomorrow at 8:30 EST. Will be a market moving event either way, but I happen to think the overall upward trend will win out during the hour or so of digestion before the market opens and people start putting their money where their mouth is.
     
    #450     Sep 29, 2009
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