buy this dip

Discussion in 'Trading' started by stock_trad3r, Jul 26, 2007.

  1. l2tradr

    l2tradr

    Nice call champ. Why don't you just focus on what the market is actually doing rather than look inot your obviously broken crystal ball?
     
    #11     Jul 26, 2007
  2. This statement. This one, right here. This speaks more about you than anyone could ever invent, twist or slander towards you. Thank you for making my day. This should be in your signature as a public warning.
     
    #12     Jul 26, 2007
  3. l2tradr

    l2tradr

    You're a "jeanious" :p . Wow. Just go long something, anything... :eek:
     
    #13     Jul 26, 2007
  4. I've seen a lot of stupidity on ET

    but stock turder really takes the cake

    I mean think about it, it is 2007 and guy is advocating buy and hold strategy

    sure he can get lucky but that is not trading

    this web site is not about people placing bets at casino
     
    #14     Jul 26, 2007
  5. This website has become a joke.

    I wonder if potential advertisers ACTUALLY LOOK at what is being posted here, before they pay for ads that they place on ET.

    What an embarrassment.
    There's nothing elite about ET.
     
    #15     Jul 26, 2007
  6. when I saw the title of this thread there was no question who started it. Stock you are unbelievable. The market is a freefall and there you go calling a bottom. You harass people who call tops, christ you are a turd. For the 100th time, please give us you're credentials. How long have you been a "investor" Have you worked in the financial services industry? Nothing to personal, but I for one am very interested in what, if any, background you have.
     
    #16     Jul 26, 2007



  7. RFLMAO

    WHAT AN IDIOT!!!!!
     
    #17     Jul 26, 2007
  8. It's Do or Die for the S&P
    Jeffrey Cooper Jul 26, 2007 8:40 am

    It will be interesting to see the response of the tape to Apple and Baidu.com's earnings on Thursday given the Do or Die position of the S&P.




    Run, run my last race
    Take my place
    Have this number
    of mine...
    -Ride My See-Saw (Moody Blues)


    Profits are a great indicator, but they are a look backward, not necessarily a look forward.

    One can not predict the market by following fundamentals or the economy because Mr. Market typically leads the data points.

    To wit, the run up of Apple (AAPL) and Baidu.com (BIDU) this month going into their earnings reports after the close on Wednesday. Hence the adage "Buy the rumor, sell the fact".

    The thing is that stocks many times outlive their logic: crowd behavior finds justification in self-fulfilling momentum. Growth that has been priced into the cake is extrapolated into the future, giving an extension on top of an extension. Kinda like a party girl popping out of a cake at a stag party, it's close to climactic.

    Stocks (and markets) can do bizarre things for bizarre reasons and many times they do so near turning points. Such was the hysteria as the S&P exploded two hundred points in one month in March 2000.

    Such may be the case (or the tail end of the case) with the post-close reaction to the earnings on Wednesday in both AAPL and BIDU.

    AAPL initially tanked off seven points to 130 before exploding to 150. BIDU ramped 44 points on earnings before easing back to settle up 34 points in the after market glow.

    I promise I won't do this again but let me ask you to reread this: profits are a great indicator, but they are a look backward and not necessarily a look forward.

    If AAPL holds 144-145 it projects to 169. And, no, that does not mean on Thursday. But, I understand why you would ask.

    If BIDU holds 215 it projects (according to the Square of Nine Chart) to 245.

    Interestingly, both 169 on Apple and 245 on Baidu represent moves of 1080 degrees (or three price cycles of 360 degrees) up from their last significant swing lows. If reached, these targets could signify buying climaxes. So heads up, momentum players.

    The important thing to remember is to trade strongly trending stocks according to their own position rather than juxtaposing the action of the broad market onto the stock.

    Poor market tone may affect a locomotive of a stock but that does not necessarily translate into derailment, especially if the indices, although jagged and with meager internals, have not registered a confirmed sell signal.

    Note that the recent drop in BIDU was the first pullback. First pullbacks in strongly trending names are almost always buying opportunities.

    It will be interesting to see the response of the tape to AAPL and BIDU's earnings on Thursday given the Do or Die position of the S&P.

    Why Do or Die? After two real distribution days---last Friday and then again on Tuesday--- the S&P is at an inflection point. It needs to convert its overhead 50 day moving average at 1521 or trace out a bearish third lower high. Recently I mentioned the third lower high in Goldman Sachs (GS) and you can see how the stock waterfalled.


    Click here to enlarge.

    Moreover, 50% of the range of the past two months (1556 to 1484) is 1520. Folks, you can't make this stuff up. As an hourly chart shows, the S&P has traced out three swings to a test of its closing weekly low for the last two months--- 1503, which was the closing low for the week ending June 29th. This is a potentially bullish set up. However, the index must recapture 1521 or all bets are off. Anything short of impulsive price action from here is bearish from where I sit.


    Click here to enlarge.

    A move above 1521 could see a quick spurt to 1530ish which coincides with an overhead downtrend line and the level where the weekly swing chart last turned down.

    Drifting price action from here would be bearish and carve out a possible third lower high which sets up downside acceleration and a probe of the June lows.









    What is you're response to this stock?
     
    #18     Jul 26, 2007
  9. I bought the dip and have friggin bled all day! What now - hold on?
     
    #19     Jul 26, 2007
  10. Ya gotta just love market predictions by idiots.
     
    #20     Jul 26, 2007