... but is it doable in reality ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by janbillian, Jun 6, 2020.

  1. Thanks for the input, Tavurth.
     
    #111     Aug 1, 2020
  2. The short setup in Natural Gas worked out well in the beginning - but the profit target was not reached, the short position would have been closed with a small win.

    Natural Gas is now, according to my analysis in a clear uptrend ! It's "NATURALGAS" on tradingview. Here's the chart, timeframe weekly. It currently trades at 1.964, I see upside potential to 3.00 US$. Stop loss I'd place a 1.80 . It may become a 6R winner !
    [​IMG]
     
    #112     Aug 3, 2020
  3. ... Natural Gas, just "wow", it was a large move in my favour of course but still way to go before the profit target is reached. Trade management ? I'd move the stop loss to 1.86 . [​IMG]
     
    #113     Aug 4, 2020
  4. I think we have a short setup in the DAX/GER30 (GER30 on tradingview). It now trades @ 12,577 points.
    I'd go short with the SL placed 150 points above my entry, profittarget would be 12,050 points.
    [​IMG]
     
    #114     Aug 4, 2020
  5. May be late to the party, but to me it looks as if Silver may see 42 US$ ! I'd go long here with the SL placed 2.40 US$ below the entry price, it now trades @ 25.40 . Profittarget as stated above, 42 U$, SL 23.00 US$ .

    [​IMG]

    Will now stop to post setups, but hope some of you will have gotten something out of this thread, I actually hoped for a bit more interaction with members !
     
    #115     Aug 4, 2020
  6. ... won't stop to post setups as I continue to find some opportunities I believe may have a great risk - reward ratio. US Dollar weakness may continue and I think the FX pair USD vs JPY (USDJPY) good break below 100.00 . It currently trades @ around 105.56 - I'd place the stop loss @ 107.50 . Profittarget around 100.00 or even lower.

    [​IMG]
     
    #116     Aug 5, 2020
  7. I think now the DAX / GER30 is in a clear uptrend on timeframe "daily". I'd go long now, the DAX now trades @ 12,656 with the SL placed 110 points below entry, Proftittarget would be 13,000 points. [​IMG]
     
    #117     Aug 6, 2020
  8. ... SL would have gotten hit :( on the DAX long setup I just posted .
     
    #118     Aug 6, 2020
  9. Today I venture into the world of individual stocks and present a company I would NOT buy any shares of ... although it looks on paper very seducing as the current dividend yield is very high, slightly above 15% ! The market cap is as of now above 15 billion US$, but it now trades below its 2008 low (financial crisis !), and could not sustain its COVID19 "mini-bullrun". The company is Imperial Brands PLC, a british tobacco company, symbol on tradingview is "IMB" (LSE listing, quotation in Pound Sterling). It now trades around 1,265 pence . I think it may lose another 40% from its current level, maybe even more !

    Looks to me as if a strong dividend cut is unavoidable, and the market is very pessimistic about future earnings !
    I call this chart a "horror chart" -> [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Aug 7, 2020
    #119     Aug 7, 2020
  10. Slightly off-topic, this is from a speech the legendary fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller gave in 2015 at the Lost Tree club in Florida . He was able to generate an almost surreal annualized return of 30.4% without a single losing year for, hold on to your seat, 30 years !

    Excerpt "I was not in the top 10 percent of my high school class. My
    SATs were so mediocre I went to Bowdoin because it was the only good school that didn‘t require SATs,
    and it turned out to be a very fortunate event for me."
    -

    > URL : https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/...ost-tree-speech-more-important-now-than-ever/
     
    #120     Aug 9, 2020