bull market has resumed

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by gharghur2, Oct 1, 2005.

  1. Normally that would bother me. But I see the A/D line climbing throughout in the NYSE. If you look at 1991 - 1994 you'll notice the same divergences. This was a time when a third wave was subdividing with a series of 1-2, 1-2, 1-2's ... we call it consolidating near the highs.
     
    #181     Oct 30, 2005
  2. The April - August advance was the weakest of the lot. We didn't get too overbought (intermediate term), so we may not see the fear factor this time. However, we did slam down pretty hard in the middle of the month.
     
    #182     Oct 30, 2005
  3. cnms2

    cnms2

    Elder wrote about The Hound of the Baskervilles that happens when a divergence is not confirmed, and it is followed by an opposite violent move. Maybe this will be the case this year... We need just a little patience.
     
    #183     Oct 30, 2005
  4. You are referring to this activity (chart)?

    I feel the continued advance of the A/D line and the subdivision of the V wave negates the bearish divergences. Similar to 1991 - 1994
     
    #184     Oct 30, 2005
  5. Agree! The SPX has been pretty violent lately. It feels like the bears are disappointed that they couldn't break this market. Every up opening sold off...every sell off reversed on panic short covering...there's lots of shorts and cash out there.
     
    #185     Oct 30, 2005
  6. cnms2

    cnms2

    My "Great charts!" was referring to these ones:
    http://www.marketswing.com/L3charts/All_COT.htm
     
    #186     Oct 30, 2005
  7. #187     Oct 30, 2005
  8. cnms2

    cnms2

    We have to enter based on our analysis, but keep our stops shorter (like in "keep your friends close, but your ...").
     
    #188     Oct 30, 2005
  9. catching bottoms is always risky.
    but when it's a bull market the risk is always limited :)
     
    #189     Oct 30, 2005
  10. cnms2

    cnms2

    I place my bearish SPX stop at 1230 (~2 * 3 day ATR). Where would you place yours (bullish)?
     
    #190     Oct 30, 2005