Brexit

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Zr1Trader, Feb 25, 2016.

Brexit

  1. Stay in EU

    14 vote(s)
    26.4%
  2. Leave EU

    39 vote(s)
    73.6%
  1. romik

    romik

    Key issue for people is that refugees don't want to integrate and since immigration is getting out of control I am almost certain now that majority vote will be based on emotions rather than rational. Britain will leave EU.
     
    #11     Feb 26, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. I believe that British people will vote for exit, these bulls are just manipulations.
     
    #12     Feb 26, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  3. I'm long the Pound against the dollar. It's starting to get a little uncomfortable. I listen to all these foreigners trying to talk about American politics. So I wouldn't pretend to know how much of it is just British politics.
     
    #13     Feb 26, 2016
  4. #14     Feb 28, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. #15     Feb 29, 2016
    murray t turtle and Zr1Trader like this.
  6. #16     Mar 26, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  7. #17     Mar 26, 2016
  8. Why is it always so hard to make a longshot pay off?
     
    #18     Mar 26, 2016
  9. destriero

    destriero



    lol no. Staying is paying 40% (2/5; -250 ML). Pay $250 to win $100. Meaning 71% likelihood of staying in EU (delimited, 71/100). The 89% is simply the action -- where the money is being placed. 9/10 bets are on the dog, to leave.

    15/8 = +187.5 ($87.5 return on $100 wagered) if BE leaves. Nearly a double if you bet on the exit. 35% implied probability of BE exit (at the offer).
     
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2016
    #19     Mar 26, 2016
  10. #20     Mar 26, 2016