Well, judging by what happened with ICM, they pull it 'cause the news organization that commissions these polls (the Guardian in this particular case), wants the results to appear on its site first.
There have been 4-5 new official polls since my last post that have all been in favor of brexit. This has been a trend the past week or so. More leave support showing up in polls now. Nursing Times poll on the EU Referendum: 43% LEAVE 41% REMAIN 15% UNDECIDED U.K. POLL ON EU SHOWS 47% REMAIN, 53% LEAVE: IPSOS-MORI U.K. POLL ON EU SHOWS LEAVE 45%, REMAIN 42%: IG/SURVATION Every "twitter poll" that has been made on twitters platform that I've seen in the past week are heavily (60-80%) for brexit. Some of these twitter polls have thousands of votes. I've yet to see one twitter poll that has remain as majority. Bt.com had a poll on their website with 20k votes and 60%+ voted for leave. BT.com then removed that poll as their CEO had just announced his support for remain. MSN uk.com had thousand+ votes and 60%+ for leave Marketwatch.com had thousand+ votes and 66% for leave. BOE left rates unch this morning, they say Brexit will be bad for pound.
As far as Bookies. William Hill statement on odds the past week "We were forced to shorten our Brexit odds yet again overnight," he said "and having once been long-odds outsiders the odds have now come all the way down. The momentum is such that it seems inevitable Brexit will be favourite by the weekend if this trend continues." William Hill odds for U.K. remaining in EU now at 4/7 vs 4/9 earlier Other Bookies http://www.oddschecker.com/politics...referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
Even the language of the bookies mirrors the emotions of a trader caught with a bad position. I thought these guys were supposed to be broadly neutral, with betting odds simply reflecting the bets of the betting public. Why the need to force? I thought the bookies always made money running a balanced book, no need to predict outcome.. The thing is, I'm still not convinced the Remain side won't try to wriggle out of a Leave majority result:- - ask for calm from everyone in the aftermath of result - show some humility and understanding for the public's frustration with the EU - stalling tactics, ask for more patience while EU discussions take place - UK to "re-negotiate" with EU, other members panicking about 2nd largest economy leaving - barrage of EU leaders asking UK voters to "reconsider" exit given the ramifications for all - Cameron and Osborne back from meetings with Brussels with a better "deal" for the UK - Includes special opt out clauses specific to UK, e.g. migration controls/limits - Propose a 2nd referendum to reflect the new deal and confirm the 1st referendum! Maybe I'm just paranoid..
I agree, they could very well try and go against public wishes. "Parliament doesn't actually have to bring Britain out of the EU if the public votes for it. That is because the result of June 23 referendum on Britain's EU membership is not legally binding. Instead, it is merely advisory, and, in theory, could be totally ignored by UK government. This incredible detail is explained in a new blog post by Financial Times columnist and legal expert David Allen Green. Green says that no legal provision was included in the EU referendum legislation that requires UK Parliament to act in accordance with the outcome of the EU referendum. Instead, what will happen next if the public votes for a Brexit will be purely a matter of parliamentary politics. The government could decide to put the matter to parliament and then hope to win the vote, Green says. Alternatively, ministers could attempt to negotiate an updated EU membership deal and put it to another referendum. Finally, the government could just choose to totally ignore the will of the public. " http://www.businessinsider.com/green-eu-referendum-not-legally-binding-brexit-2016-6?r=UK&IR=T