by Benoit Mandelbrot http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0465043550/104-6949857-2661565?v=glance Has anyone read this book?
Very good book. Easy to read, scientifically thorough, interesting. Gives some insight, but in a practical sense applies to market makers in options and to hedgers only.
It's a good book and probably should be on everyone's bookshelf. However, Benoit only states the obvious and brings nothing new to the table - albeit, no new solutions.
Q http://financial-spread-betting.com/Olsen-oanda.html A Look At Market-Moving Numbers - Literally By Benoit B. Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson Wall Street, as ever, confounds. But the mysterious behavior of financial markets attracts academics eager to uncover investing secrets. For the past 40 years, Yale University mathematician Benoit B. Mandelbrot, founder of a branch of mathematics called fractal geometry, has applied his academic theories to financial markets. His findings are explored in a book he has written with Richard L. Hudson, former managing editor of The Wall Street Journal Europe, titled "The (Mis)Behavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward." In the following excerpt, Richard Olsen, a Swiss fund manager and specialist in mathematical finance, illustrates Mr. Mandelbrot's view of the financial markets: They aren't mysterious, but rather physical systems that ought to be examined scientifically and engineered rationally. UQ
Perhaps many researchers after personally encountering the (mis)behavior of financial markets would then have much of their experiences to publish for others. Q http://www.math.yale.edu/mandelbrot/web_pdfs/misbehaviorprelude.pdf Introducing a Maverick in Science UQ
http://www.iwif.org/IWIF1PreliminaryProgram.doc "First International Workshop on Intelligent Finance (IWIF 1)"
Probably a little bit more practical one: "Computational Learning Techniques for Intraday FX Trading Using Popular Technical Indicators" http://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/research/working_papers/2000/wp0030.pdf
Odd. WHY did you post that link? Are you a closet sadist? I just ate breakfast. Page one made me queasy. By page two I was burping up gas. At page three I finally purged. Aggregating eight indicators, most of which are redundant with one another? Treating trading mathematically when it is psychological? Ignoring the possibility of manipulation? The less people actually TRADE, the more they seem to fall for deterministic or optimal estimation fallacies. The markets function in such a way as in the aggregate to make market order participants WRONG. Their constant striving to find a mechanistic way to be right is what keeps them coming back for more abuse. In the aggregate, mind. Just read the posts here, hahahaha! Mike.